TullyHeel
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Everything posted by TullyHeel
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12z GFS
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FV3 seems to have the precip much further west, more expansive than the other models. At the same time it seems it takes a while for the actual snow to reach the ground because the totals are light.
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Looks good. 3 inches would be a huge storm compared to what we had here the last 3 years. It ill be nice to get a true snow storm for a change.
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Yeah, last three runs of the NAM have been back and forth with how far west the snow gets in NC and the totals.
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Looks like the last NAM run decreased totals west of the Triangle, kept things about the same for central NC, and decreased totals east of central NC.
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The last two NAM runs say differently.
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NAM looks better.
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Looks like the last run settled in the middle of the previous two.
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I didn't know the run before had that much in NC. I am surprised no one posted it earlier.
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NAM really increased totals further NW in NC.
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Latest from the RAP.
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HRRR has the snow here around 8 PM and the RAP looks like it is a little earlier around 6 PM.
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2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
TullyHeel replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Under a winter weather advisory starting at 5 PM. Might actually get an inch of snow out if this. I'll take that as a win with the way things were looking a couple of days ago. -
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Looks a lot better than the models.
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Webb is really going out on a limb but he might just be right with the way the models are coming in more and more NW.
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I'd tell you but then I'd have to kill you.
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It really started after they busted predicting a big storm in December 2000 and we ended up getting nothing. That's the one Greg Fishel said if we didn't get a certain amount he would stand in the fountain at the studio and play his tuba. At least he did it. But ever since then they have always gone low no matter what and adjusted higher if needed right before the snow fell or after it was already falling.
