Wonderdog
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Everything posted by Wonderdog
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Hey buddy, I'm probably wrong but I thought you said a couple of days ago that you were only going to check out the models every five days or so. Lol. Maybe with that monster storm on the 14th, we can get some luck and instead as depicted, it comes further east before cutting. Already showing some front end stuff! Maybe we can score some heavy snow before changing over.
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Question. If the same conditions that you have elaborated on now exists in three weeks, would we have a better shot at snow due to being deeper in winter?
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So the EURO has a Gulf lp move to off the NC coast and then out to sea. Anyone see the EPS
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I've made numerous posts regarding the accuracy of the models but you have to understand that PSU is an EAGLE fan as I am and it's game day for the division. Being a fan of Philly teams can lead to gloom and doom and usually does.
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Even if the extreme cold is on the Canadian border?
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Finally something we can get our teeth into in a couple of Mondays! Yes it's presently depicted as a weaker type of system and the rain/snow line is precariously close to the District but we'll take it. Any possibility that this system can slow down some?
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That would be a nice storm for the MA. Take some people off the ledge.
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At hour 246 on the 18Z run, does it look like a storm may develop in the middle of the country using the H5 map?
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Well put.
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Currently 39 and a bit of fog in Gainesville.
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Santa doesn't exist.
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Yeah, me too and I think you're spot on about the crappy patterns. Although when something shows up good in the long range and then disappears, it's normal to remember that more often.
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I just asked a question about the frequency. It's doesn't seem to me it's very often. Anyway, don't worry about it (lol). On a related front, if the second half of the GFS run is correct about the cold temps, I would think we can get lucky at least once. Either way, the cold air seems to be somewhat close.
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How often does any LR model come to fruition? Don't worry about it.
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I like the snow hole over NOVA with the storm approaching from the west.
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Yeah, just misses us. Plenty of wind. Wish it was next week instead of later. Still plenty of time for a favorable outcome.
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Still like the time period and the signal. And H5 looks potent but wish it was leaning left.
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Yeah, here's hoping for a bizzaro world situation.
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What are the accuracy figures past 8 days for the GEFS and the EPS in the past two years? Bah Humbug. Merry Christmas!
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That has been period of interest for a few days. The 0z run had a strong storm ejecting out of the sw and gave us heavy rain with NJ and NY getting heavy snow. 6z run has same storm but doesn't make it up the coast. Maybe we can settle on a blend of the two and let the chips ( or flakes) fall where they may.
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January looks to have a few possibilities if we can get lucky. Nice to see a 1050 hp north of us in the last part of the run. Prime climo fast approaching.
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Any love on the EURO in the extended
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Yeah, model depiction must be incorrect. It will change in a matter of hours.
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Seems like any storm that forms south of us stays south of us and then moves south. This pattern is wacked.
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You're right Bristow. You're not off your rocker, for that :)
