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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Ground dusted here at ORD, with this synoptic/lake enhanced combo ongoing for now. Lake convergence band is steadily pushing west on TMKE. However, the snows look far from impressive for now.
  2. HRRR/3km NAM/NSSL/FV3/ARW all have a corridor of 6-12” in the Lake/Cook Co border area. .
  3. This is suddenly becoming a more interesting overnight shift at ORD. Obviously dependent on trends being correct, and the LE not doing anything wonky. .
  4. Early 0z guidance is shifting LE westward, targeting more from Kenosha down into Lake and N-C Cook Co’s. .
  5. Should note we are 5 days out from the lead wave/overrunning portion. .
  6. surprised ya'll haven't mentioned the RAP. it's even further west, with inches into SE Lake Co IL.
  7. Pivotal has had the latter already for free. .
  8. -7 RFD and -5 ex home Tue morning. -18 RFD, -12 ex home, -6 ORD and -5 MDW this morning. Lowest in LOT CWA were -26 ARR, -24 DKB and -21 RPJ. Peak wind chills this morning of -26 RFD, -18 ORD and -17 MDW. Lowest in LOT CWA were -41 ARR, -40 RPJ and -32 DKB.
  9. In one model suite, the GFS jumped from its solution to a 12z Euro solution. On the flip side, for the East Coast weekend storm all guidance pretty much caved to the GFS. Good luck. .
  10. It’s always nice when guidance has a quality storm in the sub-forum, with different ways of getting there. However, look at how radically different the UA pattern is on the GFS/Euro leading into things. Have a long way to go… .
  11. beat me to it. was going to jump on it tomorrow, to snipe hoosier. .
  12. ENS have not been great this winter in the medium to long range. Obviously in the long range even ENS will have spread and change, but it has been fairly significant at points this winter. .
  13. Fairly useless to be looking at OP guidance at this point, given how significantly in flux the pattern shift is at this time. Even ENS guidance has been fairly useless so far. .
  14. I’m not even going to take the time to make the list for Chicago, as it’s lengthy as well. .
  15. Came close to it. 5.9” the past few days at ORD. .
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