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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    Noticing a slow but steady downtrend in activity now, across IA and MO. .
  2. Chicago Storm
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  3. Chicago Storm
    That should have occurred at the 20z outlook, or even the intermediate update the just recently issued at the latest.
  4. Chicago Storm
    For anyone following the information Tim Marshall has been providing the past few days, a non-EF-5 rating should not come as a surprise. .
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  8. Chicago Storm
    Anything forming ahead of the line was never really in the cards. It was always going to be a line of mixed mode embedded supercells and QLCS. .
  9. Chicago Storm
    Can’t figure out why the SPC didn’t pull the MOD risk back southwest to the current location of ongoing activity in NE. Also probably could have pulled the ENH southward into KS/MO. Alsooo, with this update you can argue for the need of a high risk for wind (the coveted 60% hatched), given how things are unfolding. .
  10. Chicago Storm
    Nice supercell structure embedded in the line… .
  11. Chicago Storm
    Storm motion has nothing to do with watch issuance. .
  12. Chicago Storm
    It’s begins… .
  13. Chicago Storm
    84MPH Garden City, KS. .
  14. Chicago Storm
    84mph in La Junta as well. Those showers are definitely helping with the transfer down to the surface. .
  15. Chicago Storm
    I wouldn’t get ahead of yourself, yet. .
  16. Chicago Storm
    My guess is would be they would be forced to issue severe t’storm warnings. If a wind advisory were in place, you might be able to go with a short fused high wind warning…But with one already in effect, it leaves little in the way of other options. .
  17. Chicago Storm
    Agree, 10% hatched tor and 45% hatched wind look good. I’d expect wind probabilities to be expanded a bit for the next update. .
  18. Chicago Storm
    Still fully expect a period of 45-60MPH wind gusts across the area tomorrow evening into early Thursday morning. .
  19. Chicago Storm
    Surprised no one started a thread earlier. .
  20. Chicago Storm
    Putting together information that has been provided thus far… Path length is currently ~163 miles across PAH and LMK CWA’s in KY. This is from the KY/TN border in Graves Co KY, up to the Breckinridge/Grayson County KY borders. .
  21. Chicago Storm
    The area from just NE of Samburg up to along the KY/TN border has always been the question mark, so good so see at least some bits of confirmation on that now. .
  22. Chicago Storm
    Milwaukee has had 3 days of measurable snow, totaling 0.6” .
  23. Chicago Storm
    Gonna need a plane. .
  24. Chicago Storm
    The Euro was too low with the Friday night/Saturday morning wind event. The GFS was much closer in terms of both placement and forecasted wind gusts. .
  25. Chicago Storm
    Yes and no. A cold pattern doesn’t necessarily mean a LES pattern. (I’m not saying any of which are/are not happening) Personally, cold and dry is easily worse than warm and dry/warm and wet. .
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