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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Agree. Trend this winter is for a the last wave coming down the backside of the trough to try and dig into the west, and it gets left behind a bit. That is where the GFS went that run. Even the Euro solution, albeit snowy, is also strung out.
  2. better find a ride for tomorrow, slick. .
  3. they don’t even know how to drive in the rain. .
  4. Yea, this shouldn’t be a surprise. First event, even if under criteria, usually gets a headline. If some of the snowier guidance works out, some places will be advisory criteria anyway. .
  5. 1-3” most of the area. Only exception likely to be the heart of metro, with probably a DAB, given slightly warmer temps. .
  6. ORD picked up a late Dec/after Christmas TS before receiving measurable snow. .
  7. Depends on the state of upstream NAO blocking and PV lobe location at the time. Any solution is really plausible at this time. .
  8. PNA/SE ridge is still amped at that point. Doesn't trend downward until after that period.
  9. 47MPH wind gusts at CID as well. That activity is topping out near 30KFT. .
  10. This new pattern we’ve been in for a little over a week now hasn’t been terrible, and has produced before. -PNA/SE ridge just flexed a bit too much, with just a big swing and a miss for those outside of portions of MN/WI/MI, which I mentioned was possible on a previous post. But yea, coming up indices all relax a bit, especially the PNA down the road. So should continue to have opportunity, but hopefully less swing and miss for those looking for action. Shall see. .
  11. GEM is horrid with thermals. We’d see about 30 sub-zero days a winter if it were right. .
  12. 12z Euro continues leading the way with minor snowfall accumulation around here on Tuesday. Most EPS also show the same. Almost everything else has little to nothing. So it’s Euro vs all at this point.
  13. Given the setup, it’ll probably jump around a ton well before that. .
  14. This. The UKMET only goes out until 144hrs, but as you said, the evolution would support a storm with an axis of snow through the region. .
  15. Better take your screen shots now while the big 4 have it, before it fades like every other big day 7 potential so far. .
  16. Just wanted to make sure. LOT might have the highest total in the state so far, with 0.6”. Really ‘cashed in’ on the snow squalls weeks ago. .
  17. yea, mild and rainy is better than cold/miserable and rainy. .
  18. Ton of spread on ENS right now, so we’ll see how it trends. But yea, it’s definitely the next threat to end the new record. .
  19. Not our region, but Denver is still sitting at only 0.3” on the season as well. .
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