Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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6z Euro mostly holding serve with the overrunning event. Maybe a rock of an orientation change in a few spots. .
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0z GEM is either north or new orientation of overrunning event as well.
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It's taking on the new SW-NE orientation we've seen in 0z guidance.
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i was attempting not to use it again, but definitely was. It was south to the west and north to the east.
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0z GFS appears as though it will bump north with the overrunning event as well.
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Bump SE a bit with the main storm system.
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0z RGEM bumping north with the overrunning event. Edit: Way north so far. (Cyclone I'm looking at you.)
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The change this run did end up making for a more organized storm system a bit as it moved east through the sub-forum (IN/OH/MI). Still a few bumps back the other direction before it would be really noteworthy.
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Looks to be more tied to the wave diving into the Pac NW, which eventually gets involved with the wave coming out of the SW. Notice how earlier runs had that wave diving more southward into the West, before eventually trending further NW with less of a dive the past several runs. This in turn has lead the heights being shunted down ahead of the main ejecting trough. This run seemed to reverse the Pac NW wave issues a bit, but the faster timing of the SW wave ended up still lowering heights.
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As you mention, the trough is closer to neutral tilt and is also a good bit faster as well. However, heights are lower ahead of it prior to any ejection.
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.
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That's an everyday occurrence now.
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considering it.
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Ok, I lied. Rule #1, stick with your first call.
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Evens out with time it appears.
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Early, but 0z NAM will either bump north or have another overrunning event orientation shift (I'm tired of typing it as much as you are reading it).
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There's one member with 33" at ORD still. So bad.
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To the west it was a bit SE, but then evened out towards your way.
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Yea, it definitely was wetter in the main axis.
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Last winter.
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Whole axis shifted SE.
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Indeed it did... SE bump with both the overrunning event and the main storm system.
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i had a good thread making winter several years ago, forgot which.
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a post with the full run of the RAP sums up the state of the local threat.
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18z RGEM held with overrunning, and then is a bump SE with the main storm.
