Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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A lot of that has to do with less overlapping with both main rounds as well.
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12z Euro with a bump SE, with both the overrunning portion and the main storm system.
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The Tropical Tidbits winter accumulations maps are terrible. Would suggest COD or Pivotal.
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Slight axis adjustments for some, but otherwise the 12z GFS is holding serve overall with this for the whole period.
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Main storm system on the NAM is a nice hit along STL-IND-CLE corridor. Some overlap with the overrunning event, but not as much as prior runs recently. .
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Main storm system might bump SE as well. .
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You already know what I’m going to say about the 12z NAM for the overrunning event. .
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The 6z HRRR mirage is over. .
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Going to guess that the evening/overnight shift in some guidance was an over-correction. .
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6z Euro mostly holding serve with the overrunning event. Maybe a rock of an orientation change in a few spots. .
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0z GEM is either north or new orientation of overrunning event as well.
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It's taking on the new SW-NE orientation we've seen in 0z guidance.
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i was attempting not to use it again, but definitely was. It was south to the west and north to the east.
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0z GFS appears as though it will bump north with the overrunning event as well.
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Bump SE a bit with the main storm system.
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0z RGEM bumping north with the overrunning event. Edit: Way north so far. (Cyclone I'm looking at you.)
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The change this run did end up making for a more organized storm system a bit as it moved east through the sub-forum (IN/OH/MI). Still a few bumps back the other direction before it would be really noteworthy.
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Looks to be more tied to the wave diving into the Pac NW, which eventually gets involved with the wave coming out of the SW. Notice how earlier runs had that wave diving more southward into the West, before eventually trending further NW with less of a dive the past several runs. This in turn has lead the heights being shunted down ahead of the main ejecting trough. This run seemed to reverse the Pac NW wave issues a bit, but the faster timing of the SW wave ended up still lowering heights.
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As you mention, the trough is closer to neutral tilt and is also a good bit faster as well. However, heights are lower ahead of it prior to any ejection.
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That's an everyday occurrence now.
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considering it.
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Ok, I lied. Rule #1, stick with your first call.
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Evens out with time it appears.
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Early, but 0z NAM will either bump north or have another overrunning event orientation shift (I'm tired of typing it as much as you are reading it).
