Chicago Storm
-
Posts
18,315 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Chicago Storm
-
0z GEFS mean .
-
I was trying to shy away from that term again. I shall never read back on that thread. .
-
Actually, ended up not. Just noise level in the end.
-
Noticeable changes with many of the main pieces on the 0z GFS, which should result in a bump north. .
-
GFS was the last to cave south with the overrunning event, and in the end a compromise ended up being correct between the GFS/Euro for it. .
-
sounds familiar, doesn’t it. we know how that worked out last time.
-
It’s just about as good of a phase we can get, based on how things are on paper right now. So probably the tip of the ceiling for the event, and obviously would still favor weaker/SE. I think it was yesterday when I mentioned I would favor a hit near where GHD3 hit, in other words a compromise of the GFS/Euro (which ironically is what ended up working out at this range for GHD3). .
-
The 18z GFS is a blizzard, with 40-55MPH wind gusts. Also has 6hr snowfall totals nearly of 20” close to the IA/IL/MO border area.
-
There are definitely many EPS members north of the OP Euro, and on the flip side there are many GEFS members south of the OP GFS .
-
Significant meso-low moving from Lake Michigan into SW MI. .
-
i’ve seen this before. .
-
bump. the time has come.
-
There’s a lot of spread in the ENS. .
-
Correct, the northern wave rotating around the PV in Canada has trended slower/south/a bit more amped. .
-
It would have a negative impact in terms of potential, and is about one of three reasons why there’s been a shift south/weaker overall in guidance the past day or two. .
-
Placement, not potential* .
-
While not a carbon copy, there are a lot of similarities to the early Feb winter storm (GHD3). Many of the same moving pieces will be in place and a factor, and how they interact will obviously dictate how things progress. Based on how things look at face value on guidance as of now, it would not be surprising if this ended up close to where GHD3 hit. Shall see how things evolve over the coming days though. Really wouldn’t get invested in things until tomorrow or more-so Monday. .
-
there really has been not be any trend per say. other than it being a winter that has overall favored portions of MN/WI/MI in our sub-forum. .
-
definitely not the winter trend. .
-
? .
-
Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
if you insist. . -
que it up. .
-
Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
As depicted right now, it’s definitely not a wrapped up bomb. . -
0.5” ORD and 0.2” RFD with the snow last night. .
