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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. I give you the NCEP trash known as the GFS...
  2. 12z GFs still coming back to reality with another bump SE. .
  3. Even though snow depth has been 0 out this way (ORD and home), there’s a lot of standing water around from a combo of melting drifted areas/piles and the ground starting to defrost a bit. Likely will see some minor, but widespread flood issues later. .
  4. 12z NAM similar to 6z run. Noise level changes mostly. .
  5. That's mostly sleet on the RAP, which it is trying to show as 3-6" of snow.
  6. 0z RGEM holds main axis, but did expand precip NW.
  7. Frozen ground leading to runoff is one of the issues.
  8. Main wave is handled differently. It started off SE for western sub-forum, then corrects a bit NW for eastern sub-forum.
  9. Wave less amped and sheared faster. South it goes.
  10. Add in the GEM ENS are down to only 4 of 20 members being more amped/NW.
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