At this point we’re definitely not looking at sig ice in the suburbs, and quite likely not in NE IL either. The HRRR struggles with the effects of lake ice and tries to alter the environment. It’s not realistic. .
i’m not saying it’ll be right, but that is not a warm look at that time. things are up and down, but as a whole overall are colder/cooler as depicted currently, with 3 different patterns through mid march.