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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    The 0z GEM is in the main camp. SE bump once again. .
  2. Chicago Storm
    Indeed it did. It actually had the opposite trend of the 0z NAM/RGEM/ICON. Main trough was less positive tilt, and the main was was a bit faster around the base of the trough. .
  3. Chicago Storm
    if anyone was hoping the 0z OP NAM would lead the way with progress back in a positive direction... my condolences.
  4. Chicago Storm
    It has a lot to do with a wave that rounds the trough and amplifies while in the Plains, with the effects carrying through the Midwest and into the Great Lakes. This leads to the elongated SLP it has across those areas as well, and the further north look as well...Before the whole thing finally takes off across Michigan/Ontario.
  5. Chicago Storm
    That was always expected to be there, but the evolution of it has changed with time.
  6. Chicago Storm
    This is a good loop to see some of the changes that have occurred within guidance over the past few days. Notice the changes with the lobe around the Hudson, the lead wave in the main through becoming more amped, and changes with the ridging near the East Coast and along the West Coast.
  7. Chicago Storm
    Likely to see additional shifting. The 18z NAM is continuing the SE trend, for example. (Edit: Not so much in the end).
  8. Chicago Storm
    a tradition like no other.
  9. Chicago Storm
    New thread...
  10. Chicago Storm
  11. Chicago Storm
    tth. .
  12. Chicago Storm
    .
  13. Chicago Storm
    hopefully you’re heading elsewhere after arrival. .
  14. Chicago Storm
    0z ECMWF follows the current trend that the rest of the 0z suite featured.
  15. Chicago Storm
    .
  16. Chicago Storm
    As well as the 0z UKMET. .
  17. Chicago Storm
    Add the 0z GEM to the list as well. .
  18. Chicago Storm
    Add the 0z GFS to the list from a few posts up. The SE/delayed amping trend is strong, for now.
  19. Chicago Storm
    Not a good start re: this for the 0z suite.
  20. Chicago Storm
  21. Chicago Storm
    0z RGEM will continue the trend.
  22. Chicago Storm
    Notable changes on the 0z NAM... Ridging both ahead and behind the main through is flatter, and the main through does not dig as much. Makes sense that run turned out the way that it did.
  23. Chicago Storm
    It pumps up better ridging immediately ahead of the trough, but further ahead things end up a bit flatter overall. This, along with changes in the Pacific/West Coast, are some of the reasons we have seen a slight shift east in the track (And other changes).
  24. Chicago Storm
    That is most definitely one of the changes, actually briefly mentioned a change in Canada earlier...and that's it. As you can see in your animation, that alters heights ahead of the main trough/wave.
  25. Chicago Storm
    Hawaii issues their own watches.
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