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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    That was... A significant solution.
  2. Chicago Storm
    Insider info says Tuesday would be the day, if things hold.
  3. Chicago Storm
    There are several pieces the the puzzle that are being sampled today and tomorrow. However, the main wave is being sampled today/tomorrow over Alaska, and then will be sampled over SW Canada and the Pac NW on tomorrow/Tuesday once again.
  4. Chicago Storm
    .
  5. Chicago Storm
    12z EPS bumped west as well, actually favor NW of the OP Euro.
  6. Chicago Storm
    Perhaps slightly, but definitely much closer to reality.
  7. Chicago Storm
    As many have said, 10:1 maps will be closer to reality, but for lolz...
  8. Chicago Storm
    12z Euro will make a bump back west as well, not that it has significantly changed in the past day or so. .
  9. Chicago Storm
    Still a few days away from that. Should current guidance pan out... Lead snow chances possibly as early as Wednesday night, but main system snow generally Thur/Fri.
  10. Chicago Storm
    Makes sense, with a developing +EPO/+PNA pattern.
  11. Chicago Storm
    they have always been pretty bad.
  12. Chicago Storm
    12z UKMET also with a jump back west once again. Evolution aloft is different, so the SLP actually tracks from Des Moines-Chicago-Detroit. .
  13. Chicago Storm
    The 12z GFS is a full out blizzard, with 50-70KT at 925mb on the backside of the SLP. This would lead to surface wind gusts of 50-70MPH. .
  14. Chicago Storm
    12z GEM with a big jump back west as well, after the hiccup east on the 0z run. Trough digs in much further west and is slower, allowing the the Canada lobe to retreat north and increase ridging ahead of the main wave/trough. .
  15. Chicago Storm
    The digging further south is kind of a mirage. The main wave is more so coming in digging a bit further west, with better trough tilt. Also a bit more ridging ahead of the wave/trough across the Eastern US, and better separation between the main wave/trough and the lobe in S Canada. .
  16. Chicago Storm
    0z Euro the only OP guidance not to move SE in any significant fashion. A bit less amped, which altered things a bit though.
  17. Chicago Storm
    Trend on all 0z OP guidance has been SE overall. This is mainly due to changes in handling of the PV lobe in Canada, ridging ahead of the incoming wave/building trough and changes in ridging building into the West Coast.
  18. Chicago Storm
    There could be, but it highly depends on the track of the SLP.
  19. Chicago Storm
    If things go as most current guidance suggests, I definitely would not recommend flying in on the 22nd. Kuchera output will be useless for most places with this storm system, as depicted on current guidance. Projected strong winds will create lower snow ratios. .
  20. Chicago Storm
    The sweeping front across the Central US is inevitable, and most definitely is an integral piece, providing a sharp baroclinic zone. The 12z Euro from yesterday probably had the best available moisture feed out of any Euro run thus far. They have mostly been similar overall, though. .
  21. Chicago Storm
    Having the main wave and trough dig deeper into the Central US or having a slower progression would be two ways to improve that, especially since the weak lead wave and the early week storm system are unlikely to magically disappear. However, if any of the two aforementioned changes were go occur, it could lead to radically different solutions. .
  22. Chicago Storm
    This is a very good point. The lead wave really hinders a deeper Gulf influence. Without that, things could really get out of hand. .
  23. Chicago Storm
    .
  24. Chicago Storm
    i give you our world class GFS model. the worthless pos it is.
  25. Chicago Storm
    We’ve reached the point where it’s safe to say this is going to be a hybrid storm system for our region. Whether it ends up a more/less amplified version is still yet to be seen, but there’s no chance at this being a clipper, no chance of it being some sort of PH/CO hooker/cutter and no chance of it being a miss SE/E from a full on EC storm.
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