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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. for those keeping score at home, here are all of the moving pieces involved with this one.
  2. With the recently elevated mild temperatures over the past week or so, I've noticed several species of trees/bushes starting to bud/bloom.
  3. that’s literally having zero impact on modeling.
  4. i’ll leave this right here…
  5. 0z gfs has 50” in door county lol.
  6. ORD had a high temp of 73° on March 9th, which broke the record high max temp for the date of 69° (2021/1974). ORD received 1.02" of precip on March 10th, which broke the record precip total for the date of 0.87" (2013).
  7. Chicago/O'Hare had a high temperature of 73° on March 9th, which broke the record high maximum temperature for the date of 69° (2021/1974). Chicago/O'Hare received 1.02" of precipitation on March 10th, which broke the record precipitation total for the date of 0.87" (2013).
  8. the models are trash, op’s and ens alike. tune in on saturday to see what will happen.
  9. i’m pulling for the gfs, just to rain (snow) on doc’s parade.
  10. i like the moderate risk, i like a 10/15% tor. my only thought would have been to increase hail probs as well. not often i give the spc an atta boy, but here you go.
  11. there's still a good spread, but a majority are a quality hit along/north of the border currently.
  12. Fog was significant here the previous two nights. Had an extended period of 1/8SM at ORD on Wednesday night and Thursday night.
  13. Today was a fluke, but it goes to show why the new SPC format is flawed trash. The science is currently not good enough and never will be good enough to set a min/max on hail size, wind speed and tor strength in outlooks and MD's.
  14. https://x.com/Ham_BklynWx/status/2030018538727956893?s=20
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