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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. 0z Euro the only OP guidance not to move SE in any significant fashion. A bit less amped, which altered things a bit though.
  2. Trend on all 0z OP guidance has been SE overall. This is mainly due to changes in handling of the PV lobe in Canada, ridging ahead of the incoming wave/building trough and changes in ridging building into the West Coast.
  3. There could be, but it highly depends on the track of the SLP.
  4. If things go as most current guidance suggests, I definitely would not recommend flying in on the 22nd. Kuchera output will be useless for most places with this storm system, as depicted on current guidance. Projected strong winds will create lower snow ratios. .
  5. The sweeping front across the Central US is inevitable, and most definitely is an integral piece, providing a sharp baroclinic zone. The 12z Euro from yesterday probably had the best available moisture feed out of any Euro run thus far. They have mostly been similar overall, though. .
  6. Having the main wave and trough dig deeper into the Central US or having a slower progression would be two ways to improve that, especially since the weak lead wave and the early week storm system are unlikely to magically disappear. However, if any of the two aforementioned changes were go occur, it could lead to radically different solutions. .
  7. This is a very good point. The lead wave really hinders a deeper Gulf influence. Without that, things could really get out of hand. .
  8. i give you our world class GFS model. the worthless pos it is.
  9. We’ve reached the point where it’s safe to say this is going to be a hybrid storm system for our region. Whether it ends up a more/less amplified version is still yet to be seen, but there’s no chance at this being a clipper, no chance of it being some sort of PH/CO hooker/cutter and no chance of it being a miss SE/E from a full on EC storm.
  10. Additional waves of -SN the rest of Friday added up to an additional 0.9”. So for the day on Friday, total snowfall accumulation was 1.3” at ORD. That’s a two day (Thur/Fri) snowfall total of 1.7” at ORD. .
  11. On that note, warm air occlusion and 925mb winds of 65-75KT on the W/NW side of the storm system. About as a significant solution you can see around these parts. Check out some soundings west of the storm system as well, tropopause down to near 700mb.
  12. still a significant solution though, nonetheless. very spread the wealth too, actually. nearly no shot in hell that would verify, but even enough for me to comment on it at this distance.
  13. i'm surprised there wasn't more mention of the 12z euro than there has been.
  14. Added another 0.1" during the later evening yesterday, for a snowfall total of 0.4" at ORD yesterday. Already 0.4" of snow at ORD so far today as of noon, with some decent waves/bursts of snow moving through, with move on the way throughout the day.
  15. Vertically stacked low, from the surface up to above 250mb, spinning over the MSP area. .
  16. A period of -SN this afternoon/evening here at ORD, with snowfall total for the day of 0.3" thus far. Additional periods of -SN between now and tomorrow night should lead to additional dustings.
  17. The main wave is currently located within a large trough, off the coast of Japan. Also add in the countless other pieces/players still in flux. Good luck figuring things out for several days yet.
  18. Very similar event to last Friday, with roads plowed/plows in action from basically northern McHenry County on up. don't mind him. he was trying to back-hand troll a previous comment of mine, which is still stands correct.
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