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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
  2. Chicago Storm
    While the lack of a solid Gulf connection is an issue, the bigger issue has been the multi-day trend towards a weaker/delayed amping/further east track to the storm system as it moves through much of the sub-forum.
  3. Chicago Storm
    You're correct.
  4. Chicago Storm
    i haven't had a chance to put out any thoughts on the final 1/3rd of December in the long range thread... But unless we see something thread the needle, it might be a while before the next thread worthy/wider-spread potential.
  5. Chicago Storm
    that was when we dusted our way to 1.1" at ORD over a couple day period. i can't get myself to go cad on that one.
  6. Chicago Storm
    you're out in denver now, eh? should connect with @Thundersnow12. he's at kden.
  7. Chicago Storm
    i have a lot of bump trolling to do this weekend. he'll be able to get his jollies off with tth responses.
  8. Chicago Storm
    First solid period of CAD of the season for Alek, this past weekend into early this week.
  9. Chicago Storm
    Luckily the SREF will be decommissioned and replaced in 2023. .
  10. Chicago Storm
    You need to let this one go. .
  11. Chicago Storm
    It’s more for their thinking on the snow/wind combo. They went away from snowfall total based headlines to impact based headlines a few years ago.
  12. Chicago Storm
    Ah, alright. Can still sort of say the same though. The trend has been on the Euro as well QPF wise the past several runs. Shunt east of the better deformation precip, and a drying trend too.
  13. Chicago Storm
    Given we’ve seen this trend for over a day now and we continue to approach the event start, would have liked to have seen some reversal for the 0z suite, after the 18z suite stopped the bleeding. Instead we got the opposite, and things have continued to trend worse. Game, set & match.
  14. Chicago Storm
    First and final call, 1.7” ORD. .
  15. Chicago Storm
    0z Euro with a solid jump east and weaker. .
  16. Chicago Storm
    bye, stebo. .
  17. Chicago Storm
    Given the look of the rest of 0z guidance (Including the GDPS), it’s probably safe to toss the GFS/GEFS…Unless some other guidance shifts that way, or the GFS trends away from the idea. .
  18. Chicago Storm
    Yea, it has its moment about once or twice a winter when it’ll have a clue in our region, but outside of that it’s definitely not all that useful. .
  19. Chicago Storm
    0z UKMET was probably the worse, for everyone, out of the 0z suite. Much weaker and further east. .
  20. Chicago Storm
    The 0z GEM is in the main camp. SE bump once again. .
  21. Chicago Storm
    Indeed it did. It actually had the opposite trend of the 0z NAM/RGEM/ICON. Main trough was less positive tilt, and the main was was a bit faster around the base of the trough. .
  22. Chicago Storm
    if anyone was hoping the 0z OP NAM would lead the way with progress back in a positive direction... my condolences.
  23. Chicago Storm
    It has a lot to do with a wave that rounds the trough and amplifies while in the Plains, with the effects carrying through the Midwest and into the Great Lakes. This leads to the elongated SLP it has across those areas as well, and the further north look as well...Before the whole thing finally takes off across Michigan/Ontario.
  24. Chicago Storm
    That was always expected to be there, but the evolution of it has changed with time.
  25. Chicago Storm
    This is a good loop to see some of the changes that have occurred within guidance over the past few days. Notice the changes with the lobe around the Hudson, the lead wave in the main through becoming more amped, and changes with the ridging near the East Coast and along the West Coast.
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