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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. It’s gonna take more than the 40’s DP’s most guidance has. .
  2. ya gotta remember your previous trolls if you're gonna keep the bit going.
  3. you still bring everything inside in the winter, eh?
  4. his would too, if he didn’t paint it. .
  5. This is still a pre-pattern shift thread the needle-ish kind of setup for most. Definitely wouldn’t get too invested for a few more days, but consistency/support at D5 is at least good for now.
  6. This is a given at this point, the SPV is going to be significantly disrupted late this month and into February. Taking that into account, along with other factors (MJO movement and teleconnection evolution), it most definitely will lead to a volatile pattern, in which the overall pattern shift will likely occur in phases.
  7. if you want to make that weak argument, let's look at a few random RFD climate periods... Snowfall average for 1901-1930 climate period: 22.8" Snowfall average for 1931-1960 climate period: 31.6" Snowfall average for 1991-2020 climate period: 37.1"
  8. ORD doesn’t get that all that much LES, and we all know this side of the lake doesn’t in general. .
  9. threaded the needle to 0.2” of snow at ORD overnight, with the backside snow showers.
  10. Vertical visibility. It's the height an observer or ASOS can see upward into a surface based obscuration that covers the sky. However, it's not strictly used in that fashion.
  11. Oh, and if you want bad... For the climate period of 1911-1930, the average seasonal snowfall for Chicago was was 29.7". (31.4" for standard 30 year climate period of 1901-1930). We live in an area that has a lot of variability is the point here.
  12. Only 38 of 139 Decembers have had 10.0" or more of total snowfall, and several (6) barely made it over that threshold. That's only 27% of Decembers since 1884. So yea, it's about time you accept where you live.
  13. Oh, I am tracking... There are some top 10 lists we will be cracking soon for snowfall futility.
  14. There have been 8 such, most recently 2017 with 0.6" of snow.
  15. the only think i want to slant stick is 89° days to 90°.
  16. ORD snowfall by "event" this season... Nov 15-19th: 1.1" Dec 9th: 0.2" Dec 15-16th: 1.7" Dec 22nd: 1.3" Jan 5th: 0.2"
  17. I wouldn't lock that in as a likelihood across the sub-forum on a consistent basis as of yet.
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