Chicago Storm

0z Euro says I see you, and I raise you… .

Forgot to mention it at the time, but while downtown for NYE/NYD I noticed some trees were budding.

That’s as exotic as it gets… .

lol 0z GFS late next week… .

The snow for tonight sort of came back from the dead, as it was shown a few days ago, before vanishing. Looks like a 1-3" type of situation for tonight into Saturday morning across the area.

It had a run similar to the 0z a day or so ago as well.

i don't know why they still waste their time with these. they're always so bad.

zzzzz .

I'll probably become more interested come Saturday, but until then it's a bit too early. There are a few players to watch that will factor into the evolution of this one, including what exactly happens with the lead weekend storm system.

December 2023 finished tied for the 4th warmest December on record in Chicago. Top 10 Warmest December's 1. 43.4 - 1877 2. 40.7 - 1889 3. 39.7 - 1923 4. 39.0 - 2023 4. 39.0 - 2015 6. 38.4 - 1931 7. 38.0 - 2021 8. 37.8 - 1881 9. 37.7 - 1918 10. 37.4 - 1971

December 2023 finished tied for the 4th warmest December on record. Top 10 Warmest December's 1. 43.4 - 1877 2. 40.7 - 1889 3. 39.7 - 1923 4. 39.0 - 2023 4. 39.0 - 2015 6. 38.4 - 1931 7. 38.0 - 2021 8. 37.8 - 1881 9. 37.7 - 1918 10. 37.4 - 1971

i’ll throw up a zzzzz to that. .

Beat me to it, as I was going to type up something while I’m the train this afternoon heading downtown. This is the first evolution of the new pattern, which some may even consider a new pattern in itself. Winter lovers, your time has come. I’ll be boxing up the palm tree this week. One tidbit of note is that we will be falling short of SSWE “criteria”. But it doesn’t even matter in the end, given the substantial amount of warming and disruption there currently is and will continue to be for a while. As you mention, the high latitude blocking is being shown consistently (And at times fairly significant looking), and the effects of the warming appear as though they will be real. .

0.9” of snow at ORD thus far today. That 0.9” plus the 0.3” on the month going into today brings the monthly total to 1.2”, which knocks this December out of the top 10 least snowy. .

Solid meso-low tonight on the western shore of Lake Michigan, between Manitowoc and Algoma, WI. .

the useless cfs, posted with love for our wisconsin brethren… .

S WI, E IA and NW IL will end end up the winners with this second round. Should end up with advisory level snowfall accumulations in that corridor. .

Looks like a corridor of 1-3” occurred across Southwestern and Southern Illinois. .

might be time you take a break. .

The pattern change is already occurring, with additional evolution likely with time.

Someone around the MO/IL border area (Near STL) is going to end up with advisory level snow accumulation when all is said and done with this first wave.

The metro is out of the game most likely. The occluding-stacked low is wrapping in a tongue of mild temps, enhanced by the mild lake.

Some of you need to lay off of the trash sources.

Sneaky potential across portions of IA/IL/MO/WI the next few days… A big gyre-y mess of a nearly stacked low moving through the region, with several vorts/disturbances spiraling around it. Should see a few distinct time periods with rain/snow potential. First across MO/IL Wednesday morning through Thursday morning, and then across WI/IL/IA Thursday morning through Friday morning. Both periods look likely to feature minor snowfall accumulation for some areas. .

Solid stuff. I forgot to mention anything regarding the mountain torque evolution, so it's good you had a big mention of that.