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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    Things are likely DOA for the most part until at least mid-April. The stagnant MJO and sig -EPO are not helping at all.
  2. Chicago Storm
    60mph max wind gust at ORD thus far. .
  3. Chicago Storm
    Looks like max wind gust at ORD overnight and this morning was 48mph. .
  4. Chicago Storm
    This tells us everything we need to know...you're out of your mind. Winter 2013/14 was top 5 coldest and snowiest on record overall, and in other terms as well. Also 2013/24 being a -B and 1978/79 "only" being an -A is pure lol. What you're looking for might not even exist on this planet, outside of mountainous terrain.
  5. Chicago Storm
    I don't think you quite grasp how things work. Think it's time you move up with Bo.
  6. Chicago Storm
    You realize thaws happen pretty much every winter, right? Combo of historic cold, Nov blizzard, Feb ice storm, Feb high wind event and several headline snows...makes this an easy A winter.
  7. Chicago Storm
    0.2" of snow at ORD and 0.1" here this morning.
  8. Chicago Storm
    The OP FV3 will be run 4 times a day, exactly like the current OP GFS. The main change is that the OP FV3 will be run at 13km for the entire 384hr run, where the current OP GFS is 13km to 240hr and then 27km from 240-384hr. The FV3 will also have a 3km nest run at 0z/12z out to 120hrs, which will replace the NAM eventually.
  9. Chicago Storm
    Feb. 1st is always that point for me.
  10. Chicago Storm
    Correct. The FV3 will become OP and replace the current GFS on that March 20th date, as long as it passes the upcoming 30 day final testing period.
  11. Chicago Storm
    FV operational launch set for March 20th, pending a successful 30 day test period. Cross your fingers the test fails. .
  12. Chicago Storm
    Can't wait for the FV to replace the GFS and NAM. Gonna be fun times.
  13. Chicago Storm
    Did I mention, lol? .
  14. Chicago Storm
    lol is lol. .
  15. Chicago Storm
    The one thing holding you guys back is the lack of a slider bar to scroll through model runs, as COD has.
  16. Chicago Storm
    Shear is definitely still an issue, in addition to some dry air entertainment too as seen on WV.
  17. Chicago Storm
    Looking at satellite, there appears to be some southerly shear still affecting the storm. Outflow is a bit restricted on the south side of the storm, with the southerly shear evident to the south as well. This seems to have been a problem for the past 24-36hrs.
  18. Chicago Storm
    CDO is once again fairly lopsided, with cloud tops on the western side showing steady warming. Shear is definitely still an issue.
  19. Chicago Storm
    Looks like this season will come down to June. Given trends and what has happened thus far, one can't really be that excited, but we'll see...
  20. Chicago Storm
    Neither of those are really "day of" issues though.
  21. Chicago Storm
    Odds are there will be some sort of severe in the Plains towards the first days of May... Still a long way out obviously, but that should be the first potential...with more at or just after mid-month and beyond. LR GFS, but it shows it as well... .
  22. Chicago Storm
    See you in June.
  23. Chicago Storm
    Looks like weatherbell.
  24. Chicago Storm
    .
  25. Chicago Storm
    0z GFS with the best looking potential of the season, with two quality Plains days next Wed/Thur. While it definitely looks like there will be severe in the Tue-Sat timeframe, potential multiple waves with non-stop convection and meridional flow issues are concerning at this range.
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