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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. 18z gonna be one of them. It has been steppin' NW each run.
  2. A handful of them were NW of the OP. Two actually run along IL/IA border. (One of which really bombs into the 970's). Then there are a ton very close/hair east of the OP.
  3. 50/50 split among members...Either NW/amped or SE/meh.
  4. Been around doing this for a while now, and have never heard of lakes runner.
  5. Yes it is. Tracks from the MS Delta, to Terre Haute, to near GRR.
  6. Well I gotta tell ya, the mid-month and beyond pattern isn’t the new hotness. .
  7. The pattern really isn’t all that great, so it wouldn’t be surprising. .
  8. I haven't committed to anything...yet. Recent trends the past few weeks suggest weaker/strung out/not phased has been the rule, as Hoosier said above. However, we are about to transition into the new pattern though...so maybe that changes...or not? At the same time, a deep/slow trough with no blocking (+AO/NAO) says well NW/stronger is in play too.
  9. The north guidance is not surprising, with a lack of blocking and continued +AO/NAO. .
  10. The trend recently in this pattern has been for bigger storms out in that range to come in weaker/strung out/not-phased. Case in point see the strung out/un-phased system moving across the region and East Coast the past few days, and then the upcoming strung out system around mid-week. Both were shown as sig winter storms just several days back. .
  11. It hasn’t been shown consistently, and given the pattern we’re still in...it’s probably not even worth much discussion this far out. .
  12. 0.5” at ORD and 0.6” here last night. .
  13. Looks like there was a long corridor of totals of 3-6”, from SE. South Dakota on down into N-C. Illinois. That N. Iowa bullseye won though within that main corridor, with 6-9”. Nice over-performer compared to most guidance. .
  14. Looks like the pivot will be between you and Hawkeye. That area from DVN up to E of CID has been getting the goods for a bit now. .
  15. It’s going to weaken as it pushes ESE. .
  16. There was actually a corridor of 4-5” that extended up NW into SW. Minnesota/SE. South Dakota as well. But yea, that N-C. Iowa area is jackpot with 6-10”. RGEM seems to have handled this event the best, as it was favoring a narrow corridor of higher totals, with even a few runs having 6-7” lolli’s. .
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