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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. There is an arc of deep convection from the Gulf into Canada. Moisture transport is not being hindered for anything currently ongoing. As I mentioned, activity has just been more progressive than expected. Even going back to model guidance just from 24hrs ago, guidance was too slow with eastward progression and over-estimated training.
  2. That's not whats happening so far. The arc of rain has been more progressive, instead of training.
  3. LE ongoing in SE. WI and NE. IL. That should bode well for enhancement of snows later.
  4. No real point now given how terrible guidance is, just a guessing game. Still a spread for later today/tonight. Metro could get 1-3" or 4-7". Who knows anymore...
  5. The summary so far is guidance sucked, and an under-performance just about everywhere in every aspect...almost. Only things that seem to be panning out are the high winds and a corridor in MO/IL/IN that did as expected with rainfall. .
  6. 0848 PM ICE STORM ELDON 40.92N 92.23W 01/10/2020 WAPELLO IA PUBLIC TREES COVERED IN ICE AND SNAPPING IN SE WAPELLO COUNTY.
  7. 0728 PM FREEZING RAIN BLOOMFIELD 40.75N 92.42W 01/10/2020 M0.20 INCH DAVIS IA PUBLIC 0.2 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES NOTED.
  8. I think it's just the usual case where the RAP will need to play catch-up. Probably will see it do so a bit by the longer range 3z run.
  9. Back when we used to have D5 events to track on the reg.
  10. Ukie came in with a good hit NE. IL and surrounding areas...warning criteria snows with the main system. It has been steadfast in it's more east solution for days. Could be a solid victory for it, if it pans out.
  11. Think it's safe to toss the NAM/3KM NAM in regards to just about everything. They are both too overzealous with snow tonight/tomorrow AM in IA/WI. Additionally, they are way further west with the main system snow Sat eve/night.
  12. Na, W/NW/N-C. IL will still get at least decent snow/sleet/ice accumulation. .
  13. 6z Euro continues the trend of bringing a couple to several inches with the main system. .
  14. I think 1.8” is needed to reach that mark. Right now I’d say we pass it. .
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