Chicago Storm
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It has maintained to a degree, but nothing significant as of yet. Shall see if it perks up moving into IN this afternoon. Otherwise, looks like a loose complex taking shape in MN will dive SSE, into the DVN CWA by this evening. .
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The threat around here today looks marginal worthy at best, and even that might be too much. Looks like that MCS currently in NE IA/SW WI is riding the instability axis, and could dive SE through the DVN CWA and into C IL...if it is able to maintain over the next few hours. .
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That MCV might become a hurricane, with how warm those waters are. Cat 1 into BUF today. .
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Today isn’t looking like anything special, marginal severe threat at best around here.
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Floating in the 95F pool, as the outflow hits from a nearby storm. Pool is about 20F warmer than the air temp right now. Easily gusting 40mph+ right.
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A 3rd downburst near Northlake, and now a 4th south of Oakbrook... .
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Another near Hillside now... .
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Pea size hail at ORD as well with that t’storm. .
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Downburst at ORD with 60MPH wind gust, associated with that t’storm that has been overhead for about 45mins.
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It should. Though best could be a bit north, across WI and far N IL. .
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Speaking of upcoming things, the 12z Euro mean has a high of 96 for next Friday. .
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12th. 90 MDW and 94 here.
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Several OBS sites in the area down to 3-6SM vis, due to widespread FU (smoke) from fireworks. .
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Interesting. I never would have guessed that would have been the case. .
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89’d ORD, 90 MDW and 91 here today. .
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6 deep into that 13 consecutive streak. Let’s do it. .
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I’m guessing unlikely. Temp was only 89 still for a short time after 1pm. A good streak through this all will be hard, but at least we’ll rack up 90+ days overall. .
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ORD 89’d so far today, and back down to 88 this hour. Looking like a miss. .
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If we can get through today, the next biggest threat to 90+ would be on Friday. There a disturbance moving through Thursday night, that if (probably will) timing changes on it, could make for a stormy day and hinder 90+ potential. .
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As I mentioned, the ENS support for prolonged ridging and heat is high... .
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Obviously an OP run, but the consistency in the GFS showing almost wall to wall 90-100+ temps for the next two weeks is something. Can’t even recall that in 2012. There is a good amount of EPS and GEFS support for the ridge to continue flexing into the region, so it might be on to something to a degree. .
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It’ll be close. HRRRx has handled the past several days well, and has a ~10F spread over ~10 miles, with ORD right there in it. .
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91 ORD today. (11th) 89’d MDW and 92 here. Oddly enough, MDW has been running a bit cool on some of the warmer days recently. .
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HRRRx has 90-95 tomorrow across the metro, minus near the lake obviously. .
