All guidance is onboard for Wed being a solid severe wx day somewhere in the area/region. The main question is, where does the boundary set up after Tue nights activity, in which Wed activity will run along. .
It has maintained to a degree, but nothing significant as of yet. Shall see if it perks up moving into IN this afternoon.
Otherwise, looks like a loose complex taking shape in MN will dive SSE, into the DVN CWA by this evening.
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The threat around here today looks marginal worthy at best, and even that might be too much. Looks like that MCS currently in NE IA/SW WI is riding the instability axis, and could dive SE through the DVN CWA and into C IL...if it is able to maintain over the next few hours. .
Today looks like a similar threat as was seen on Saturday.
Isolated severe, but nothing widespread...and with more widespread rain and general t'storms.
Fatman did some good things and some bad things during this stretch in IL...but the requirement of masks and slow re-opening seems to be working for now. Shall see how numbers look come August, after restrictions really relax heading into early July. .
Yea, tomorrow definitely has potential across E IA and N IL.
SPC holding at marginal is comical, but par for the course with them.
Unfortunately, I’ll still be out of town for this one.
It is definitely much better, as madwx pointed out.
Not just for our region either...It has done well in the Plains as well. A recent example was when it nailed the 5/7 event from 1+ day out.