Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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Pretty much.
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I lied... 18z Euro was an even better phase.
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R/S line was further south. SLP and precip swath were north, due to the better phase.
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Euro is likely just about the best phase we can probably get out of this setup.
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Stronger, wetter and more phased.
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About 2 days away from the event, and now fairly good agreement between Euro/GFS/NAM/ICON...Which means this is the scenario that won't occur.
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The trend on 6z guidance, and now continued on 12z guidance, is for the northern stream to be further west and dig more...which in turn allows for more phasing, and a better/further north storm system.
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He let the success get to him, and now he’s on the downward spiral. .
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The few times we've had a northern stream piece in play this season would suggest that is a believable issue.
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Finished with 1.0” at ORD and 1.1” here. .
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That is my biggest concern as well, and is what most guidance shows, outside of the Euro...which is still not a perfect outcome. .
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2.0” call. .
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This period actually features the most favorable pattern for a good storm we’ve had pretty much all season. -EPO/-PNA in play, but the fact we will dealing with northern and southern stream could still mess things up. Would be unfortunate if the best pattern of the season only lead to a swath of 3-6” snowfall at maximum. .
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Have been getting solid periods of SN, probably borderline +SN at times. Solid DAB so far. .
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You were never really in the game. .
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It’s just organizing now, at about the time expected. Patience. .
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Yet another short term model guidance fail out west right now... All 0z guidance has 6-12" for the FSD metro on north. When in reality the band is stalling much further north, and the FSD area (and two counties north) will likely only end up with 1-3". HRRR is handling the situation much better.
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I was gonna start this tomorrow. Threat is dead now. .
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NAM with continued trends of the season.
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Winter 2019-20 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Around average could be fairly easy to attain, given we’ve already had a few light events and will probably rack up a few more...and average is Like sustained winter potential being DOA, cold is probably forgone too...outside of one or two very brief shots possible in the next 10 days or so, due the the brief -EPO push. Other than that, it’ll likely stay around or above normal temp wise. . -
Winter 2019-20 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
See ya next season...
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February 4th-7th Winter Storm Potential
Chicago Storm replied to Thundersnow12's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
ORD finished with 2.6” Added a few tenths here, for a final of 2.2” . -
February 4th-7th Winter Storm Potential
Chicago Storm replied to Thundersnow12's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Pure LE finally ramping up now. You should be good for more snow for a while.
