Chicago Storm

Several 2-2.50" hail reports from that sup that moved north of MKE a bit ago.

Significant initiation attempts occurring in the mentioned area now, just NW of DBQ.

Think we eventually see initiation somewhere in the NE IA/SW WI/NW IL area. The front is more NE-SW oriented currently, instead of N-S....and will becoming more ENE-WSW oriented with time. That will likely lead to a positive in eroding the cap, with some "CAA" occurring aloft moving into the aforementioned area, which looks to overlap the front due to its previously mentioned orientation. Add in the main disturbance and jet streak will be nosing into that area shortly as well. Seems to be a nice spot to watch for starters. Already seeing a nice/healthy/agitated CU field across this area as well. Probably will have some initiation in other areas as well, but that is one area that sticks out for now.

Make that more 77-83 area wide now. .

No doubt... Wednesday too. Even today there were a significant amount of people out and about.

11,256 cases and 274 deaths as of yesterday. Slightly bigger increase to 12,262 cases and 307 deaths in IL today.

Yea, something is wrong with the placefile I'm using. Marginal is still there,a s you pointed out.

Can’t figure out at all what the SPC is doing. Not only the very questionable SWODY2, but not the new SWODY1 completely removes marginal for anywhere...when it’s pretty clear there will be a hail risk that warrants a marginal corridor. .

Enjoy. .

Looks like an elevated hailer threat this evening/tonight, and then a more interesting threat tomorrow afternoon/evening.

Looks like 75-80 area wide tomorrow.

NAM's have been overzealous with cloud cover, and in turn have underdone temps on almost every warm day thus far this season. So easy toss material there.

10,357 cases and 243 deaths as of today in IL. .

They're performing how they have since November.

ORD hit 70 today...first 70+ day on the year.

8,904 cases and 210 deaths total now in IL. .

Preparing for the next severe event?

7,695 cases and 157 deaths in IL now. Seem to be going back and forth between bigger and smaller jumps in case and death counts every other day.

I actually started working on some this evening with several states. If I don't post it tonight, I'll have it tomorrow.

Deaths per 10k population (or something similar) would be better, but I’m too lazy to do all of that...thus the easy total count. The total count is still important too though. .

A graph I've been adding to, showing total fatalities in the hardest hit countries...

Bigger increase continues... 6,980 cases and 141 death in IL.

5,994 cases and 99 deaths now in IL. Back to a bigger jump with each today. .

5,057 cases and 73 deaths as of yesterday, which was a slower rise than on Sunday. Shall see what the numbers are for today in a bit.

.