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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Bigly changes. Wave is more consolidated, digs a bit more and has more ridging ahead of it.
  2. Should come in close to 1" here. Looks like a solid DAB-2" for a good portion of N/C IL.
  3. That trend died. Last few events were north/snowier.
  4. Solid squall moving through now with +SN, dusting colder surfaces.
  5. The environment today is similar to that of the environment last Thursday, for squalls.
  6. DAB probably for both events for affected areas. Not surprisingly, the trend has been downward as time has gone on.
  7. Seems to be a steady rise each day, but nothing exponential per say... Tue: 13,549 cases and and 380 deaths total. (+1,287 & +73) Wed: 15,078 cases and 462 deaths total. (+1,529 & +82) Thur: 16,422 cases and 528 deaths total. (+1,344 & +66) Fri: 17,887 cases and 596 deaths total. (+1,465 & +68) Sat: 19,180 cases and 677 deaths total. (+1,293 & +81)
  8. There's actually decent agreement among most guidance for an event in the area for late week.
  9. Peak wind gusts of 47mph at ORD and 51mph at MDW today.
  10. Finally ended up with one good squall later this afternoon. It featured a brief but solid period of SN, and wind gusts up to 40-50mph.
  11. Yea, the most active corridor has run from DVN to Watseka, with the metro having missed out on the goods so far. Squall currently moving from Lee to LaSalle Co's has had a lot of lightning...even a hail marker with it.
  12. Several 1-2" snow reports from some of the heavier squalls in SD/MN/WI.
  13. Soundings for today across the area are rockin'... Upwards of 400 cape, low level lapse rates up around 10C, freezing level around 900mb, deep mixing to ~600mb, -6C at 850mb... Gonna be convective precip o' plenty, with +SN/graupel...and probably some +TSSN. Add in the 35-50mph wind gusts, and likely higher in the convective precip. There's even some inverted V soundings showing up.
  14. Had a severe warned storm move through earlier, well behind the cold front. Ended up producing pea sized hail and winds up to 50mph.
  15. STL hit 90 today, which was also a record. Not the earliest 90+ on record though, as 90+ previously occurred on 4/1 in a previous year.
  16. Exactly. The event itself was definitely not a bust, SPC was a bust with another terrible performance.
  17. Steep low level lapse rates, up to 200 cape, low freezing levels...has all the makings of convective showers, with +SN and/or graupel.
  18. Wouldn’t call it an over-performer really, when some guidance had it nailed for days. More like another SPC bust to add to a quickly growing list. To think, yesterday afternoons SWODY2 totally removed even general t’storm into the RFD area. .
  19. Not the RAP, the RAP was also horrible. ECMWF and RGEM win on this one.
  20. Several 2.00-3.00" hail reports W to S of RFD area.
  21. Several 2-2.50" hail reports in and around CID.
  22. Chicago metro likely to rolled the next few hours. That main sup near RFD continues to roll, with the storm behind it taking on sup characteristics now as well. Then there's also new rapid development in McHenry/Lake Co's.
  23. The supercell off NW of Rockford is fairly sig. Large TBSS with it, and maxed out at 77dbz.
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