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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. This x2. Tue-Thur is the biggest question as to where the hottest temps are located and where the ROF pattern sets up, with the first initial push of ridging. Past history says bank on the southern end of guidance for that. On the flip side, the amount of support for the ridging and widespread hot temps to build into much of the region for Fri-following week is tremendous. .
  2. Or not... In 2020 fashion, the lake enhanced OFB came to a halt right along the border. A lake breeze has developed in NE IL, but is in no rush to move inland. 90+ is easily in the bag, and will probably make a run towards 93/94 or so. .
  3. Lake enhanced OFB quickly moving south along the WI shore, and just about at the IL/WI border. That might be enough to prevent 90+ today, as it’ll easily be through ORD before noon. 83 at ORD as of now, so the race is on. .
  4. Today isn’t looking like anything special, marginal severe threat at best around here.
  5. Agree. Would like to stay on the drier side overall, in addition to guidance holding firm or even looking better (ridge further north to keep ROF north). Problem re precip... All guidance outside of the Euro/UKMET have widespread t’storms and heavy rainfall tomorrow, and then some on Saturday as well. .
  6. Upper 90’s to mid 100’s around here from Tuesday through end of run (following Wed night). 110-120 in the Plains early on. .
  7. You want historic? Check out the 12z Euro control run... .
  8. 93 ORD (15), 92 MDW (12) and 93 here (16) today. .
  9. It's gonna happen, somewhere in the region. Obviously details and affected areas tbd.
  10. Finally 90+, and up to 91 at ORD. This lingering cloud deck has been eroding a bit, just in time before anvils move into from the t’storms across the SW metro. .
  11. Not sure about that. Probably will have to claw upward. .
  12. 90+ at ORD will likely be delayed and a closer call than it should have otherwise been for today. Cloud deck associated with an MCV continues to sit in place and regenerate across portions of the metro, slowing the temp rise this morning. .
  13. Floating in the 95F pool, as the outflow hits from a nearby storm. Pool is about 20F warmer than the air temp right now. Easily gusting 40mph+ right.
  14. A 3rd downburst near Northlake, and now a 4th south of Oakbrook... .
  15. Pea size hail at ORD as well with that t’storm. .
  16. Downburst at ORD with 60MPH wind gust, associated with that t’storm that has been overhead for about 45mins.
  17. 96 ORD (14), 94 MDW (11) and 95 (15) here today.
  18. Yea, the combo of CU fading for a time and ORD running a bit warm sealed the deal. 96 ORD now. .
  19. It should. Though best could be a bit north, across WI and far N IL. .
  20. Easy under. CU and storm potential will prevent that. .
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