Chicago Storm
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All guidance is doing horrific in the OAX CWA currently. Several 3-7" reports in the OMA area, and still a while to go with good snows. Euro appears to be the closest, as it had 6" extending west from IA, and towards the OMA area. HRRR has failed the worst, as many runs had only 1-2" for the OMA area.
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If we see 6" totals that far east (Obviously depends on how quickly things dampen with east extent), I would say into S Cook Co.
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And it's high confidence optimistic that it ends up a bit north of most guidance too.
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You're golden for now. Any bump north could be no bueno.
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I'm actually on-board with the thought that it ends up further north than some guidance shows.
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Already 2-6” of snow overnight in S. IA with the lead wave. 20” definitely within the realm of possibility there now. .
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Probably, but questionable on how much. Going to be nice FGEN and strong LLJ aiming into that region, just as the wave is maxed out. .
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0z NAM with nearly 20" in S IA.
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12km went one way, 3km the other.
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Finished with 1.4" here last night/this morning.
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whyyyyy do you post 10:1 maps.
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*Far NW burbs. .
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One of those are a 50 car pile-up on 90. .
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2-4” reports in QC area. Talk about over-performer, and further north than shown too. .
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Bigly changes. Wave is more consolidated, digs a bit more and has more ridging ahead of it.
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Should come in close to 1" here. Looks like a solid DAB-2" for a good portion of N/C IL.
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That trend died. Last few events were north/snowier.
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Solid squall moving through now with +SN, dusting colder surfaces.
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The environment today is similar to that of the environment last Thursday, for squalls.
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DAB probably for both events for affected areas. Not surprisingly, the trend has been downward as time has gone on.
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Seems to be a steady rise each day, but nothing exponential per say... Tue: 13,549 cases and and 380 deaths total. (+1,287 & +73) Wed: 15,078 cases and 462 deaths total. (+1,529 & +82) Thur: 16,422 cases and 528 deaths total. (+1,344 & +66) Fri: 17,887 cases and 596 deaths total. (+1,465 & +68) Sat: 19,180 cases and 677 deaths total. (+1,293 & +81)
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Winter 2019-20 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
There's actually decent agreement among most guidance for an event in the area for late week. -
Peak wind gusts of 47mph at ORD and 51mph at MDW today.
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Finally ended up with one good squall later this afternoon. It featured a brief but solid period of SN, and wind gusts up to 40-50mph.
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Yea, the most active corridor has run from DVN to Watseka, with the metro having missed out on the goods so far. Squall currently moving from Lee to LaSalle Co's has had a lot of lightning...even a hail marker with it.
