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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. 2.05” backside rain at ORD. .
  2. 1.19" of rain at ORD thus far today.
  3. A period of high winds looks likely from later this afternoon into Thursday morning. Looks like 50-60kts at 925mb edges in along the Lake Michigan shore counties, so will likely end up with 50-60mph gusts for those areas, with 35-50mph more common inland.
  4. The main storm system will really wrap up across the Lakes tomorrow... While early day high temps will be in the 50's tomorrow, temps will likely drop into the 40's the rest of the day, with a lengthy period of rain and wind from late morning into early tomorrow night. Some guidance has upwards of a few inches of rain across N IL/S WI.
  5. Today is going just about as expected, with widespread clouds and convection festering across the main area of focus. Best chance of anything will probably be from that current E IA line, if it matures a bit to the east.
  6. Tomorrow still looks like a low-end risk day. Cloud cover/shower debris issues will be too widespread and significant. Only the HRRR's are interesting.
  7. Tue looks like a marginal-slight worthy risk for areas near/south of I-80 in IA/IL/IN. Beyond that, I had been mentioning elsewhere for a while now that severe chances would likely increase for the Plains/Midwest for first weekend of May into the first week of May...and we have now been consistently seeing signs on longer range guidance that will likely be the case.
  8. Saturday looks like the last day with highs in the 40's for a while.
  9. Things have sort of plateaued for a while now, so I find that hard to believe.
  10. Widespread 40-60mph wind gusts this afternoon and evening across WI/N IL/E IA, with the convection moving through along/ahead of the cold front. Even a few isolated higher gusts, such as 69mph at MKE and 61mph at DPA. .
  11. Haven't really been following it much recently, but the CFS is showing a fairly cool May for most areas. It has constant Eastern or Lakes troughing.
  12. Chicago is now only ~1.5" away from normal snowfall on the season.
  13. Nothing should change until there is better testing in place.... Which is something that hasn’t happened yet, and doesn’t appear to be happening any time soon. .
  14. So much for that...past 24hrs has had the biggest single day case increase thus far. 27,575 cases and 1,134 deaths total now. (+1,842 & +62)
  15. The range has generally been between +1,100 to +1,550 during that 10 day stretch, constantly bouncing around. So definitely not a downward trend, just more-so a leveled off steady increase.
  16. Still the same leveled steady increases each day, with both cases and deaths. Sun: 20,852 cases and 720 deaths total. (+1,293 & +81) Mon: 22,025 cases and 794 deaths total. (+1,173 & +74) Tue: 23,247 cases and 868 deaths total. (+1,222 & +74) Wed: 24,593 cases and 948 deaths total. (+1,346 & +80) Thur: 25,733 cases and 1,072 deaths total. (+1,140 & +125)
  17. Indeed. Hoping to make a run at 6", to bookend the season with 6"+ events.
  18. This definitely ended up north of guidance for IL/IN/MI/OH portion. Best band currently runs from E IA-N IL-S MI. This should have been much further south. .
  19. Up to 4.0” here. Had moved into a bit of a lull, but better returns about to move in once again. .
  20. And you got all worked up with the non-sense HRRR for nothing. .
  21. You were always gonna be right with that call. I know at least the NAM had a good 850-fronto signal up north for a period of time. .
  22. It’s been ripping here. 2.2” thus far. .
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