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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Exactly. Additionally...In an alternate universe where the storm system was suppressed far enough south where IND ended up in the heart of the snow swath, it would be a sub-par event.
  2. UKMET has gone from a weak event just north of I-70, to an I-88 crusher, and now back to a north of I-70 good hit...in the span of 4 model cycles. Wouldn’t really consider that a model of consistency or trending. .
  3. Main wave ejecting out was also much slower and a bit more loose. .
  4. can’t happen. i’ve been told it’s way too marginal. that’s not fully LE in that image though obviously.
  5. 12z GEM bumped south. Appears to be just south of the 12z GFS. .
  6. Lobe was further SW. However confluence to the east across northern Great Lakes was north, along with more ridging ahead of ejecting wave. .
  7. Exactly. It’s literally just getting into range of the system. .
  8. The writing is not on the wall for the northern tier. .
  9. Northern stream further north and a bit slower and SW trough more consolidated and a bit faster early on suggested a bump north. However, SW trough elected out further south and faster, which resulted (among other things) in SE shift. .
  10. https://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html
  11. Sometimes you just have to break out the black and whites...
  12. Definitely struggling there. Would likely have a solid precip shield further N, especially with SLP track and even with considering blocking north.
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