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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    over. the split between the GFS/Euro from days ago is looking good.
  2. Chicago Storm
    That slight risk for this afternoon/evening definitely looks overdone. While there's sufficient instability and moisture, shear is greatly lacking. Can already see the effects of that issue with the current activity in the DVN CWA being very outflow dominant. A marginal risk for an isolated severe t'storm threat would have been sufficient. On the flip-side, what a forecast change from what looked like a dry day just 12 hours ago. MCV magic...
  3. Chicago Storm
    probably a split. GFS is big on getting tropical stuff involved from the Gulf, leading to more bouts of clouds/pop-up summer t'storms. Euro has been less-so, thus one of the reasons it has been hotter.
  4. Chicago Storm
    90's across the area the past few days. 90° at ORD and 92° at MDW on Wednesday, with 91° at both ORD and MDW yesterday. ...2024 90°+ Day Tally... 3 - MDW 3 - RFD 3 - ARR 2 - ORD 2 - PWK 1 - DPA 1 - UGN 1 - LOT
  5. Chicago Storm
    In the Euro we trust…
  6. Chicago Storm
    Frontal passage timing is not looking optimal for today, with the disturbance moving through the region today helping to kick it southward fairly quickly. It's looking like initiation may occur right across portions of the metro, perhaps in the vicinity of the I-88/I-80 corridors. In other words, it's likely a miss south for some around here.
  7. Chicago Storm
    around 90. i'd say right on par with what it looked like.
  8. Chicago Storm
    The FAR would be way too high if that were to be done.
  9. Chicago Storm
    They’re already warm/well above average in the extended.
  10. Chicago Storm
    Solid non-severe t'storm at home last night. Peak wind gusts likely were 50-60MPH.
  11. Chicago Storm
    it is.
  12. Chicago Storm
    yes, yes you will.
  13. Chicago Storm
    The thing is though, we know that we don't need heat or record high temps to have things end up on the warmer side of normal. While conditions over the past 30 days don't seem as though they have been all that impressive, departures for that time-frame are well above normal. I'm not saying summer will/won't be cool/warm, but the consistently mild/warm conditions since February has thinking skewed.
  14. Chicago Storm
    Left home for vacation in FL on May 25th with zero cicada activity. Returned home on June 2nd with chaos levels of cicada activity. The sound is one of a kind, that's for sure.
  15. Chicago Storm
    The best season is here.
  16. Chicago Storm
    Cicada activity has been very hit or miss. Have had none at home, at good ole ex-home, or at ORD. But places in-between have been overrun, such as Glendale Heights, Oak Brook, and Bolingbrook. It's interesting to say the least.
  17. Chicago Storm
    Yea, wasn't too much of a surprise in the end. ...But things did fade a bit faster than even thought going into it. The combination of residual capping, lowering instability, and mixed out DP's really did it in.
  18. Chicago Storm
    High winds last evening and last night were solid across the area. ORD had a peak wind gust of 58MPH.
  19. Chicago Storm
    may very well only be an EF-2 in that case.
  20. Chicago Storm
    91° at MDW today, while ORD got 89'd. ...2024 90°+ Day Tally... 1 - MDW 1 - RFD 1 - ARR 0 - ORD 0 - DPA 0 - PWK 0 - UGN 0 - LOT
  21. Chicago Storm
    Twins in SW. Iowa right now.
  22. Chicago Storm
    Expectation should be that it'll be in a weakening phase as it passes through the CWA.
  23. Chicago Storm
    Really not expecting too much of intertest around here with this. Environment really tails off with east/southeast extent. So much of the guidance that is showing activity quickly weakening as it moves through is probably is correct. SPC is way too overzealous with the enhanced risk.
  24. Chicago Storm
    Best late winter/spring in ages.
  25. Chicago Storm
    Realistic shot at the first 90° day of the year tomorrow? Maybe. Depends on how overnight/morning activity evolves in the region.
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