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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Summary of this new pattern, which could continue through the weekend of the 11/12th... .
  2. Wrong. Some of those issues can still come about in people who control it properly. .
  3. Up to 90 at ORD. 8th 90+ day on the year, and it's only late June.
  4. 87/77/98 here currently. Best climo. .
  5. DP’s at a season high across the area, running 74-79 across the LOT CWA this morning. Highest is KC09 (Morris) at 79. .
  6. Because Orangeman isn’t taking it seriously. That is the main problem. .
  7. Hit 90 here today. 89’d at MDW and 88 ORD. .
  8. Significant wind damage potential across N IN for the short term. Winds of 60-80mph likely in three distinct line segments. .
  9. Nice full blown MCS, with multiple line segments headed into S MI and N IN. There will likely be several corridors with significant damaging winds. Needed development a few more counties west of where it occurred for it to have been a mature MCS by the time it reached here.
  10. Initial storm came through here with 50-55MPH winds, and isolated tree damage. Have had a few other bursts of 40mph+ winds with a few embedded cells from time to time. Also have been in a mini train, with 1.59" of rain in last 40mins and still coming down.
  11. Even with a great environment, it looks like SFC inversion as noted on 20z DKB sounding could limited wind potential north of I-88. Thermal OFB has pushed north of MDW now, and runs to ARR or so now.
  12. That storm approaching DKB is right in the heart of the jet streak. If it can maintain, which it has so far, could be a sig wind threat with it into the western metro. .
  13. Line unzipping by DBQ more now, as well as other activity in NW IL now. .
  14. A nice line segment has taken shape across SW WI. There is an axis of TCU from that line segment on WSW to Waterloo, and we'll likely see that unzip with time.
  15. Per meso analysis, there is actually a good to great environment in place across E IA/N IL. All of the activity that has moved through this afternoon has been elevated, thus not disrupting the environment to a significant degree.
  16. Yea, not sure I agree with their overall idea there. They seem focused on the OFB for robust/severe activity, and only make a glancing mentioned of development further west later. When in reality, and threat of robust/severe development along the retreating OFB is likely minimal, and the greater threat is with what develops west.
  17. Pretty much within where the SPC has the ENH risk. Not saying it's needed, because it's not as of now. But if things worked out perfectly, could see the need for one.
  18. Complex setup up unfolding with several moving pieces. Liking the ENH still, but could see the eventual need for a MOD if things work out perfectly.
  19. Good things always happen when KLOT goes down on a severe wx day.
  20. Already getting flooding where I am right now in Arlington Heights. .
  21. This arc of activity currently moving though appears to be the expected WAA/WF storms. The small cluster earlier was tied the initial passing MCV. Activity behind this arc, around DVN, is fading with good clearing behind it. .
  22. The HRRR seems to have the best handle on thing overall currently. As you said, still way early, and I have little to no worry as of now. .
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