Chicago Storm
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Still several days out, but there is high agreement on Fri-Mon being the time the ridge flexes enough to push the heat northward around here for a few days. But even before that, 90 is within reach tomorrow and Wednesday.
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Well, given the opposite of what you say usually happens in the wx threads... .
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The most prolonged/sustained and hottest temps will no doubt be just south. However, whenever the ridge flexes in, it’ll reach up north too. Fri-Mon looks like one of those times. .
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It was sitting at 79 for a while this afternoon, but CU was pretty heavy around the same time, thus potentially preventing 80. In any case, a strong wind off the lake didn't help either.
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I know this is one Hoosier was following... Todays cooler temps has ended the 85+ steak for Chicago at 15 days. This is tied for the 3rd longest 85+ streak on record. Also, you might notice 2012 missing from this list, as it "only" had a 13 day streak. 21 - 6/19-7/9/1949 16 - 7/8-7/23/1983 15 - 6/27-7/11/2020 15 - 7/8-7/22/2005 15 - 6/29-7/13/1966 14 - 7/27-8/9/1988 14 - 7/26-8/8/1983 14 - 6/28-7/11/1955 14 - 6/9-6/22/1954
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All guidance is onboard for Wed being a solid severe wx day somewhere in the area/region. The main question is, where does the boundary set up after Tue nights activity, in which Wed activity will run along. .
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If this is the new “grazed by a thundershower”, I want in. .
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MLI is gusting to 80mph.
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KDVN has 75-90mph winds at just 250ft...incoming there now.
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Cyclone is gonna get rolled as well, if this holds together.
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75-90mph bins on velo showing up as it passes CID.
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Hawkeye getting rolled good right now.
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Tue-Thur looks like the best chances as of now, for multiple MCS's across the region.
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It has maintained to a degree, but nothing significant as of yet. Shall see if it perks up moving into IN this afternoon. Otherwise, looks like a loose complex taking shape in MN will dive SSE, into the DVN CWA by this evening. .
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The threat around here today looks marginal worthy at best, and even that might be too much. Looks like that MCS currently in NE IA/SW WI is riding the instability axis, and could dive SE through the DVN CWA and into C IL...if it is able to maintain over the next few hours. .
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That MCV might become a hurricane, with how warm those waters are. Cat 1 into BUF today. .
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While not anything record breaking, this was definitely a decent heat wave. If not for the two 89'd days, this period would have tied the longest 90+ streak on record. Additionally, the heat indices were only around/above 100 in the area for about 3-4 days during this period. ORD high and low temps from June 29-July 9th... 93/91/89/91/91/89/94/95/96/93/93 72/73/71/69/69/71/71/75/73/74/73
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ENS are still very supportive of ridging with hot temps and a ROF pattern...Here or very nearby for both. .
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93 ORD (16), 93 MDW (13) and 92 here (17) today. .
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This x2. Tue-Thur is the biggest question as to where the hottest temps are located and where the ROF pattern sets up, with the first initial push of ridging. Past history says bank on the southern end of guidance for that. On the flip side, the amount of support for the ridging and widespread hot temps to build into much of the region for Fri-following week is tremendous. .
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93.
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Or not... In 2020 fashion, the lake enhanced OFB came to a halt right along the border. A lake breeze has developed in NE IL, but is in no rush to move inland. 90+ is easily in the bag, and will probably make a run towards 93/94 or so. .
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Lake enhanced OFB quickly moving south along the WI shore, and just about at the IL/WI border. That might be enough to prevent 90+ today, as it’ll easily be through ORD before noon. 83 at ORD as of now, so the race is on. .
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Today isn’t looking like anything special, marginal severe threat at best around here.
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Agree. Would like to stay on the drier side overall, in addition to guidance holding firm or even looking better (ridge further north to keep ROF north). Problem re precip... All guidance outside of the Euro/UKMET have widespread t’storms and heavy rainfall tomorrow, and then some on Saturday as well. .
