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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Tue-Thur looks like the best chances as of now, for multiple MCS's across the region.
  2. It has maintained to a degree, but nothing significant as of yet. Shall see if it perks up moving into IN this afternoon. Otherwise, looks like a loose complex taking shape in MN will dive SSE, into the DVN CWA by this evening. .
  3. The threat around here today looks marginal worthy at best, and even that might be too much. Looks like that MCS currently in NE IA/SW WI is riding the instability axis, and could dive SE through the DVN CWA and into C IL...if it is able to maintain over the next few hours. .
  4. That MCV might become a hurricane, with how warm those waters are. Cat 1 into BUF today. .
  5. While not anything record breaking, this was definitely a decent heat wave. If not for the two 89'd days, this period would have tied the longest 90+ streak on record. Additionally, the heat indices were only around/above 100 in the area for about 3-4 days during this period. ORD high and low temps from June 29-July 9th... 93/91/89/91/91/89/94/95/96/93/93 72/73/71/69/69/71/71/75/73/74/73
  6. ENS are still very supportive of ridging with hot temps and a ROF pattern...Here or very nearby for both. .
  7. 93 ORD (16), 93 MDW (13) and 92 here (17) today. .
  8. This x2. Tue-Thur is the biggest question as to where the hottest temps are located and where the ROF pattern sets up, with the first initial push of ridging. Past history says bank on the southern end of guidance for that. On the flip side, the amount of support for the ridging and widespread hot temps to build into much of the region for Fri-following week is tremendous. .
  9. Or not... In 2020 fashion, the lake enhanced OFB came to a halt right along the border. A lake breeze has developed in NE IL, but is in no rush to move inland. 90+ is easily in the bag, and will probably make a run towards 93/94 or so. .
  10. Lake enhanced OFB quickly moving south along the WI shore, and just about at the IL/WI border. That might be enough to prevent 90+ today, as it’ll easily be through ORD before noon. 83 at ORD as of now, so the race is on. .
  11. Today isn’t looking like anything special, marginal severe threat at best around here.
  12. Agree. Would like to stay on the drier side overall, in addition to guidance holding firm or even looking better (ridge further north to keep ROF north). Problem re precip... All guidance outside of the Euro/UKMET have widespread t’storms and heavy rainfall tomorrow, and then some on Saturday as well. .
  13. Upper 90’s to mid 100’s around here from Tuesday through end of run (following Wed night). 110-120 in the Plains early on. .
  14. You want historic? Check out the 12z Euro control run... .
  15. 93 ORD (15), 92 MDW (12) and 93 here (16) today. .
  16. It's gonna happen, somewhere in the region. Obviously details and affected areas tbd.
  17. Finally 90+, and up to 91 at ORD. This lingering cloud deck has been eroding a bit, just in time before anvils move into from the t’storms across the SW metro. .
  18. Not sure about that. Probably will have to claw upward. .
  19. 90+ at ORD will likely be delayed and a closer call than it should have otherwise been for today. Cloud deck associated with an MCV continues to sit in place and regenerate across portions of the metro, slowing the temp rise this morning. .
  20. Floating in the 95F pool, as the outflow hits from a nearby storm. Pool is about 20F warmer than the air temp right now. Easily gusting 40mph+ right.
  21. A 3rd downburst near Northlake, and now a 4th south of Oakbrook... .
  22. Pea size hail at ORD as well with that t’storm. .
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