Chicago Storm

Classic miss just south look for t'storms with the front on Monday.

Good catch there. Looks like record most 90+ days in July there is 26 days (1930), so definitely within reach. Also, the longest 90+ streak on record is 22 days (6/23-7/14/1966), which is likely to be tied or broken.

I'm headed out west to the usual destination of White Pines State Park for camping this weekend as well. I don't think there has ever been one time I've gone where it wasn't hot, humid and stormy...and this time around looks no different.

Pretty much. Even though this mid-month period coming to an end has produced hot temps and quite a string of 90+ days in the OV, there hasn't been anything hotter than the mid 90's in this region. Speaking of streaks, today is the 19th consecutive 90+ day at PAH.

Thought we were getting STL climo? That's still good for some 100's.

i read this as, “it’s patriotic”. .

Side note...There should be decent t’storm chances (we’ll see about severe) in the region Sun-Wed, as the ridge breaks down and shifts west. .

Pretty much, overall. He just has the imby blinders on. .

Euro is solid 90’s Sat/Sun, with wildcard days on Fri/Mon. Convective debris isn’t an issue until Mon, given ridge orientation. GFS is solid 90’s that 4 day stretch. I’m not forcing anything, the overall pattern with a quality -PNA supports the stronger ridge development into our area. Mid month worked out as expected in the Ohio Valley. Outside of for the push this past weekend, guidance had jumped ship for our area for the mid-month period several days out. if anything is being forced, it’s your overestimation of how cool it’s been iyby.

Must be losing your eye sight at your old age. .

Look who is on the mask bandwagon now. lulz .

July is running at 79.7° for Chicago, which is 5.8° above average. If the month ended today, it would be the 4th warmest July on record. .

This current period was more that I was just jonesing for it, along with the week+ out phantom death heat wave on guidance. In this case, we are just a few days out now and the overall idea is supported very well by a nicely -PNA. Plus, there’s a significant difference as you can see below, from this current period to compared to the weekend. .

Not this time. .

High amount of support for a shorter duration heat wave to impact the region once again, in the Fri-Mon timeframe. Unlike this current mid-month period that has generally favored the Ohio River region for sustained hot temps, due to a more zonal flow and elongated ridge...This upcoming period will feature a nicely -PNA, which will aide in developing a quality/strong ridge...nearly 597DM on some guidance. .

He does that to himself.

Yesterday was great. Should also point out there is high agreement on another flux northward of the heat for next weekend...That's still a week out through obviously.

Indeed, the weekend flux northward for northern areas definitely fell short in terms of temps...Though high DP's and high HI's did pan out yesterday. Areas further south, from last week through this upcoming week, will be the winners this go around.

From worst to first. HRRR was horrid last night, but it easily the closest to reality this evening.

91 ORD (18), 91 MDW (14) and 89'd here today.

81 at GYY and C09.

One of the classics.

It's be close. 79 at ARR, LOT and JOT. 80 just outside the metro, at DKB.

There is not a single piece of guidance that has a handle on the current situation over the region.