Chicago Storm
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0z GEM following the trend of bumping NW early on and peaking west, then shearing steadily east. .
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I don’t believe so, given the system peaks out west. It would be steadily trending down with eastward extent. Some ENS have shown this, and it’s a clear trend for now. .
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Definitely suppressed south. .
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It does not. Solid bump NW. .
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Solid bump NW early on. Question is will it do what the RGEM did. .
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And indeed that's the case. Ended up a good bit further north to start, but ends up only a tick north further east due to the aforementioned confluence over the Lakes/Northeast.
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Bad news is slightly more confluence over Lakes/Northeast...Which means it'll shear out fairly quickly to the east. So win/loss there.
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0z RGEM looks to bump north.
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A bump north, but nothing special.
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0z NAM looks to bump north.
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18z EPS Mean... Bumped north. .
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Skilling must be getting tingly or senile...He mentioned the JMA on air.
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18z Euro. Still snowing from E IA into MI. .
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Euro has 35-40mph winds later Monday, with 45kt+ at 925mb.
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Similar to the GFS, the Euro is raining where the UKMET and NAM have their main snowfall axis.
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18z Euro is going to bump north.
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18z GEM bumped NW. However, it still peaks out west across MO/IA, before steadily/quickly shearing out to the east.
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18z GEFS Mean... .
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GFS has wind gusts of 40-45mph on Monday. 40kt+ at 925mb.
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18z GFS .
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SLP goes north of IND.
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Would 2nd this.
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GFS now has rain where the NAM has the main snowfall axis.
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In short, yes.
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Ricky's LOT AFD is out, for those who follow. You know where to find it...
