Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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The LAF effect.
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3.4” of snow here. Had a period of legit +SN at one point. Turned to sleet here about an hour ago under the lighter returns. .
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What model did the best with this system (not the NAM), does not mean it would do as well with the next. Each scenario is different.
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Delayed but not denied...The snow/mix line has finally been making steady northward progress, near I-80 in IA/IL now.
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Best radar presentation in a WAA event in quite a while... .
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+SN here. TSSN in Lee Co.
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Extensive +TSSN...
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+TSSN in Montezuma IA area for over 30 minutes now. .
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Training +TSSN into the Montezuma area, within that main advection plume.
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6.8" in Washington IA...SE IA. Fell in about 3.75 hours.
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Also a lot near Montezuma now as well.
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TSSN around Iowa City once again.
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Snow started here about 45mins ago. Has been solid SN for the duration thus far.
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Just about the entire precip shield in IA/IL is snow. The only area of mix is along the very southern edge of the precip shield, in W IL and S IA.
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TSSN just west of Iowa City.
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Snow-sleet/freezing rain line getting kicked back south toward IA/MO border on DMX.
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2.5" report just west of Keokuk, along IA/MO border....Should bode well for those in NE IL.
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Rapid saturation occuring as the heaviest returns begin to move in. Down to about 650ft on KLOT now.
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Just was looking at that actually. HRRR is very close, and the NAM is a bit too bullish. Shall see how things evolve though.
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The mixing issue is just one of many issues it has. Being overly dry and well too far north on placement of the heaviest QPF are also big issues. The NAM is a complete toss, and that’s an understatement. .
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You can totally toss the NAM. .
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TSSN in far NW MO. .
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It’s not going to mean too much, given ample advection from the southwest. Virga and top down saturation has already started into DVN and ILX CWA’s. .
