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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. can’t happen. i’ve been told it’s way too marginal. that’s not fully LE in that image though obviously.
  2. 12z GEM bumped south. Appears to be just south of the 12z GFS. .
  3. Lobe was further SW. However confluence to the east across northern Great Lakes was north, along with more ridging ahead of ejecting wave. .
  4. Exactly. It’s literally just getting into range of the system. .
  5. The writing is not on the wall for the northern tier. .
  6. Northern stream further north and a bit slower and SW trough more consolidated and a bit faster early on suggested a bump north. However, SW trough elected out further south and faster, which resulted (among other things) in SE shift. .
  7. https://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html
  8. Sometimes you just have to break out the black and whites...
  9. Definitely struggling there. Would likely have a solid precip shield further N, especially with SLP track and even with considering blocking north.
  10. 0z RGEM would likely end up a bit north of where 12z GEM was.
  11. seriously thought mchenrysnow was about 18 or so.
  12. The mean SLP track shifted NW. I mean it's pretty clear here.
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