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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Makes sense. Trend is good for now at least, and appears Euro will follow as well with a bump south.
  2. I'd disagree overall. Fairly solid agreement on a swath of at least 3-6" across portions of IA/WI/IL/MI. South end of it, yea still a question. Will depend on how strong WAA is, with this wave lacking any significant SLP.
  3. It doesn't hurt to have the lead wave trend south in this case. Definitely fully in play for both events still.
  4. UKMET continuing the tend of bumping south for the Tue-Wed lead wave. .
  5. Tue/Wed wave continues to trend south on most guidance. Decent snows into the LOT CWA now. .
  6. That's the down side. The lead wave still has snow potential, but this second potentially main wave is now later on. Good news is that most of the players should be on land by Monday night.
  7. Euro finally flipped. Cuts a 998mb SLP up to DTW.
  8. you know it. the week leading into christmas through a few days after new years is just about the only period i'll root for just about any sort of accumulation. outside of that, pass unless it's 6" or much greater.
  9. Picking up that 0.2” Thursday morning kind of killed off those vibes for now. .
  10. you know there’s a problem when i’m leading the optimistic wisdom train, and not the futility train. .
  11. It’s not a secondary, it’s the main system on most guidance now. The initial wave ejection is turning into a glorified front/overrunning event now. .
  12. There will be no futility to root for after this upcoming week. .
  13. GEM throws another new scenario on the table. Lead wave ejects out as a glorified overrunning/frontal event, followed by a delayed ejection of the 2nd wave not until Thur/Fri, as a very wrapped up/occluded system...over DSM by Fri morning. .
  14. Euro, similar to the GEM, dives the northern wave in while the trough is over the Rockies and Plains...this leading to a more sig outcome. .
  15. Ukie has a solution of its own. Northern stream misses, so southern wave ejects out late and well south. Main snows are actually overrunning/frontal. .
  16. I’m not saying we’re going to get something sig here...yet. But it’s a lot closer than some think. .
  17. It’s still playing catch-up...give it some time. .
  18. Seeing significant changes in guidance the past 24 hours on how the next trough is handled. It now is looking increasingly likely a wave in the northern stream will dive SE out of Canada, interacting with the southern stream wave(s) coming into the Southwest. GEM and now the Ukie are showing sig snow much further south now, with the both very close to being an even more sig event than either have modeled even at this time.
  19. It is. Has been and will continue to be it appears. .
  20. Astronomical winter makes no difference. If ORD is sitting under 1” of snow as we head into the new year, futility watch has full steam ahead. .
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