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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    It's not subsidence. More of the issue with drier air flowing in from the east across NE IL. Further west across the DVN this issue doesn't exist, due to less dry air at the start.
  2. Chicago Storm
    ORD dropped from 34 to 30 as the snow has started.
  3. Chicago Storm
    Quickly went from mixed precip, to snow pellets to full on SN with good flake size. .
  4. Chicago Storm
    Mixed precip has commenced here. Locked and loaded for 10".
  5. Chicago Storm
    nice fake out. .
  6. Chicago Storm
    I skimmed fairly quickly and didn’t see it mentioned, but 6z Euro bumped precip amounts as well... .
  7. Chicago Storm
    Unless you mean the usual mix seen when saturation is first occurring, we’re not going to see a legitimate mix this far NE. .
  8. Chicago Storm
    where's threat #2? mine didn't produce, yours needs to.
  9. Chicago Storm
    0z GEM a bit wetter across E IA/N IL, and many other areas to the S and SE.
  10. Chicago Storm
    It's also wetter, with 1.40"+ precip at ORD. It did run a bit too wet with the last storm system, so chop a bit off and it's still respectable.
  11. Chicago Storm
    0z GFS is actually wetter across N IL.
  12. Chicago Storm
    The good news is that the ARW/NMM/NSSL WRF all are much wetter and snowier than the NAM/3KM NAM. Usually wouldn't mention them much in the winter, but might be of some use this go around.
  13. Chicago Storm
    RGEM is drier as well, across IA into NW IL.
  14. Chicago Storm
    probably looking at a dab+.
  15. Chicago Storm
    The NAM trending drier makes little sense looking at things. For example, PWATS are the highest on a NAM run yet, in excess of 0.80" up to DVN.
  16. Chicago Storm
    0z HRRR, obviously discounting the overdone LE. .
  17. Chicago Storm
    0z HRRR moves precip into some areas faster than other guidance, including Chicago metro. Has a dusting in some areas at 3PM.
  18. Chicago Storm
    21z RAP .
  19. Chicago Storm
    https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/ .
  20. Chicago Storm
    have you checked on the CRAS?
  21. Chicago Storm
    He’s on tonight I believe. .
  22. Chicago Storm
    18z GEFS Mean .
  23. Chicago Storm
    18z RGEM back snowier .
  24. Chicago Storm
    he’ll flip 5 more times at least. .
  25. Chicago Storm
    No reason to be. .
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