Slower timing makes it look worse than it is.
In any case, a bump SE is a bump SE.
It's actually a bump NW from the 0z run, just a bump SE from the 6z run.
12z Euro might bump SE.
Northern stream lobe is a bit more favorable than 0z run...However, heights are a bit lower ahead of southern trough, and it is slower and more positive tilt prior to ejection.
Only change on 12z Euro through 36hrs is that the northern stream lobe is a bit further east. Everything else, including heights in ahead of southern trough, are unchanged.
Exactly.
Additionally...In an alternate universe where the storm system was suppressed far enough south where IND ended up in the heart of the snow swath, it would be a sub-par event.
UKMET has gone from a weak event just north of I-70, to an I-88 crusher, and now back to a north of I-70 good hit...in the span of 4 model cycles. Wouldn’t really consider that a model of consistency or trending. .