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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. you used to be better at trolling than this. it's a shame.
  2. you apparently were not around for the 1-3"/hour snowfall rates in northeast illinois a few nights ago, without arctic air.
  3. this might be the new dumbest thing you've said.
  4. Good point. Appears to be the weakest of any OP guidance.
  5. must be getting old... don't remember any of this.
  6. There are numerous ENS (both GFS and Euro) that have 10-20”, with a few over 20”. .
  7. And indeed that's how it will continue. Bump SE of 6z run and bump NW of 0z run. So call it even.
  8. Slower timing makes it look worse than it is. In any case, a bump SE is a bump SE. It's actually a bump NW from the 0z run, just a bump SE from the 6z run.
  9. 12z Euro might bump SE. Northern stream lobe is a bit more favorable than 0z run...However, heights are a bit lower ahead of southern trough, and it is slower and more positive tilt prior to ejection.
  10. Only change on 12z Euro through 36hrs is that the northern stream lobe is a bit further east. Everything else, including heights in ahead of southern trough, are unchanged.
  11. Exactly. Additionally...In an alternate universe where the storm system was suppressed far enough south where IND ended up in the heart of the snow swath, it would be a sub-par event.
  12. UKMET has gone from a weak event just north of I-70, to an I-88 crusher, and now back to a north of I-70 good hit...in the span of 4 model cycles. Wouldn’t really consider that a model of consistency or trending. .
  13. Main wave ejecting out was also much slower and a bit more loose. .
  14. can’t happen. i’ve been told it’s way too marginal. that’s not fully LE in that image though obviously.
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