Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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alek reeling it in.
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18z Euro with the bump NW. Wisconsin gets the goods. up into N-L. Michigan.
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I can make this happen. Though, further inland may be more interesting. .
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Ya'll are slacking... No 18z GGEM mention?
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have been fairly busy unfortunately. would like to have been posting more, but just haven't had the time.
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Cautiously optimistic would be the phrase I'd use.
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ricky's mind going a thousand miles a minute right now.
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that white rain is gonna stack nicely there.
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Ricky will tell you the same… Never add up the P+C amounts. .
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too bad temps aren’t colder… .
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Winter 2023/24 Short Range Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Overnight disturbance dusted the area… ORD - 0.4” MDW - 0.1” RFD - 0.5” . -
6z guidance generally came in weaker/east for the most part, and slower developing. Weaker/drier/east is a trend you need not want to see in the Chicago metro/NE Illinois. Shall see if it was a one run blip, or if it actually turns into a trend. .
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not really.
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Winter 2023/24 Short Range Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
That compact-potent disturbance moving through tonight is doing work out in Iowa. 1-3" reports in E Iowa, snow squall warning near DSM, and probably should have another in E Iowa. There was also a bit of TSSN earlier. -
Chicago/O'Hare received 0.93" of precipitation on January 9th, which broke the record precipitation total for the date of 0.76", which was set in 1946.
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Chicago Weather Records Tracking
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Chicago/O'Hare received 0.93" of precipitation on January 9th, which broke the record precipitation total for the date of 0.76", which was set in 1946. -
Final storm snowfall totals…ORD - 3.2"MDW - 3.8"RFD - 3.9"
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They like to avoid that situation, because it is indeed a downgrade.
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Cook Co is split into 3 zones for headlines. Will Co has a similar split as well.
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A watch for downtown and near lake areas seems highly questionable at this point. At least for now...
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That's not quite how it works. Ratio's would still not be optimal, but you would improve pavement accumulation.
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Here’s a link to a limited amount of experimental output… https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=rrfs_na_3km_dev1_conus_jet&domain=full%3Ahrrr&run_time=10+Jan+2024+-+00Z Latest update that I saw was that after several delays, implementation was planned for end of 2024. The FV3 will also be part of things. Here’s a link the the experimental output from it… https://fim.noaa.gov/FV3new/ The whole system will eventually replace the HRRR, RAP, Hi-Res Window, and NAM’s. .
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The RRFS is a whole ENS package. That is just one experimental hi-res, which yes, also has not performed well. .
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y’all have to stop with the NAM. it’s trash and it’s life clock is nearing 0, once the RRFS is implemented successfully. .
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GHD2 can’t even get a mention. With that one temps dropped quite a bit during the long-duration storm. With this one temps will not crash until it’s pretty much wrapped up, as currently modeled that is. So easy toss.
