Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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There are numerous ENS (both GFS and Euro) that have 10-20”, with a few over 20”. .
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And indeed that's how it will continue. Bump SE of 6z run and bump NW of 0z run. So call it even.
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Slower timing makes it look worse than it is. In any case, a bump SE is a bump SE. It's actually a bump NW from the 0z run, just a bump SE from the 6z run.
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12z Euro might bump SE. Northern stream lobe is a bit more favorable than 0z run...However, heights are a bit lower ahead of southern trough, and it is slower and more positive tilt prior to ejection.
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Only change on 12z Euro through 36hrs is that the northern stream lobe is a bit further east. Everything else, including heights in ahead of southern trough, are unchanged.
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can't wait for GFS ENS P22 to occur.
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Exactly. Additionally...In an alternate universe where the storm system was suppressed far enough south where IND ended up in the heart of the snow swath, it would be a sub-par event.
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you’re still not in the game, champ. .
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UKMET has gone from a weak event just north of I-70, to an I-88 crusher, and now back to a north of I-70 good hit...in the span of 4 model cycles. Wouldn’t really consider that a model of consistency or trending. .
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Main wave ejecting out was also much slower and a bit more loose. .
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**** that guy, he’s never right.
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can’t happen. i’ve been told it’s way too marginal. that’s not fully LE in that image though obviously.
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Nice bump NW. .
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12z GEM bumped south. Appears to be just south of the 12z GFS. .
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Kutchera is your friend. .
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Big LE signal in NE IL. .
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Lobe was further SW. However confluence to the east across northern Great Lakes was north, along with more ridging ahead of ejecting wave. .
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12z GFS bumped NW. .
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12z RGEM ticked NW. .
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Exactly. It’s literally just getting into range of the system. .
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The writing is not on the wall for the northern tier. .
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Northern stream further north and a bit slower and SW trough more consolidated and a bit faster early on suggested a bump north. However, SW trough elected out further south and faster, which resulted (among other things) in SE shift. .
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Or not. .
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12z NAM is going to bump north. .
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6z GEFS .
