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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    18z Euro bumped back south. .
  2. Chicago Storm
    18z GEM bumped north again.
  3. Chicago Storm
    18z GEFS Mean .
  4. Chicago Storm
    Haven’t looked into it at all, but delta t’s would at least be better than during Mon-Tue. .
  5. Chicago Storm
    you’re on the wrong streets. being a meteorologist does not necessarily make you a professional, nor guarantee you’re good at your job. there are plenty of quality mets, and there are plenty of crappy ones that non-degreed people can outperform. some around here have clearly proven it both ways recently. .
  6. Chicago Storm
    Little bit further out for the snow that continues out east... .
  7. Chicago Storm
    Pointless not to extend it to the eastern side of the CWA now. .
  8. Chicago Storm
    probably more like 39 rainer. .
  9. Chicago Storm
    It didn’t shear the wave out as quickly. .
  10. Chicago Storm
    Measuring is in good hands for this one luckily.
  11. Chicago Storm
    you agree, yet you’re the one that’s getting concerned about the smaller scale details. .
  12. Chicago Storm
    12z GEM
  13. Chicago Storm
    GEM has 30” in parts of IA. .
  14. Chicago Storm
    12z GEM bumped north, to the current consensus. .
  15. Chicago Storm
    12z GFS a bit south.
  16. Chicago Storm
    Measuring will be in good hands for this event. .
  17. Chicago Storm
    It’s definitely a believable scenario. However, I would be cautioned regarding it until the 0z runs tonight. Currently the wave that leads to the increased confluence is well north in Canada, across the Northwest Territories and Nunavut. There is some sampling that occurs up there, but it’s sparse. For the 0z runs tonight the wave will have pushed south into Saskatchewan and Manitoba, which has a bit more RAOB coverage. .
  18. Chicago Storm
    And the new 12z RGEM does exactly this... A bit less confluence in the Lakes/Northeast, which allows shearing of the wave to occur a bit later. This makes for heavier totals further east, east of the Mississippi...but also allowed for a bump north as well. .
  19. Chicago Storm
    If the confluence can slacken a bit over the Lakes, that would likely help. However, that could also lead to a bump north as it pushes east of the Mississippi. .
  20. Chicago Storm
    It’s just not supported right now. On just about all guidance (minus several ENS), the wave still peaks out west and then steadily shears...and that’s what we’re going to get if that occurs. We had an even in the eastern part of our region like this years ago, might have been late 2000’s. System shredded fairly rapidly. .
  21. Chicago Storm
    6z RGEM and GEM bumped north. 6z Euro. Still snowing from IA on east... .
  22. Chicago Storm
    Still a decent spread on GEFS, but the mean remained fairly consistent... .
  23. Chicago Storm
    6z NAM bumped, but still has some work to do... 6z GFS remained solid... .
  24. Chicago Storm
    0z EPS Mean .
  25. Chicago Storm
    part 2...
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