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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Something started falling from the sky about an hour ago.
  2. Another wave that will peak west, and then shear/weaken as it pushes east...And that is actually due in part to the northern lobe in Canada for the current event, which ends up off the East Coast for the weekend event.
  3. Definitely will under-perform what guidance showed, unless something surprises in the next few hours. Luckily, lower end of NWS forecast should work out that way.
  4. Big red flag out west with a lot of areas are under-performing model guidance, quite significantly. Most guidance had 12-18" across N Kansas into SE Nebraska, and NWS had 8-18" range across this area. As of now it looks like there will be no more than 8" in N Kansas. Well under guidance, and barely making the forecast range.
  5. wut? The Euro has had a solid event too, along with many EPS.
  6. Corridor of 6-7" totals in SE NE, east of Hastings. That area will end up being the winner out that way.
  7. same amount of maps as there are comments, prior to this one.
  8. The HRRR has been too bullish with LES since the upgrade, so a reduction of what it has is likely needed in this case. .
  9. Definitely came in south and weaker. Precip was cut cut slightly, which made snow totals look north around here...but really only the heavier axis narrowed. .
  10. 18z GFS ticked north, and slightly drier in only some areas. .
  11. The block/confluence hasn’t really changed in a negative way. The wave ending up further northwest in the Plains and peaking out that way is the bigger issue now. .
  12. 18z NAM bumped north. And the least surprising news of the day, it’s drier once again.
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