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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. The MCV/wave is now evident in the DSM region on vis sat. Have already had development on the southern flank well south of DSM, and now are seeing the real show getting going in NE IA, which should unzip down to I-80
  2. You just beat me to it. Was just about to rag on the SPC (per usual) for saying there was no “overt” MCV. .
  3. The problem I see just glancing at things is the lack of waves/disturbances. There is one out west tied to the KS MCS, but that’s it. The main trof is still deep in the N Plains. .
  4. What a day... I'll have to figure out my exact tor count, but I think it was around 5 or so. The most notable tors were one near Creston, the strong one SE of Sycamore, and then a large multi-vortex bowl that ended up turning into a big rain-wrapped tor near Virgil. Will have pics and video up at some point int he next day or so.
  5. Have two tors on the day so far. Last one occluded into the rain. .
  6. Na, I’d wait for the stuff more WNW and W to develop more. .
  7. Tor reported near Beloit just now. Semblance of a couple on radar, so could be legit. .
  8. Core NW of RFD is rotating in mid levels and has turned a bit more ESE. .
  9. I procrastinated per usual and left late, but still will probably sit in DKB a bit, unless something catches my eye. .
  10. The slowly maturing cells along the IL/WI are already rotating. .
  11. With increasing LL SRH with time, storm mode isn't going to make much difference. Could see a 10% tor and/or 30% wind being needed.
  12. No, initiation will occur (and already has) to the northwest of there on the boundary. DKB is a good starting point though, with 88 as E/W option and 23 as N/S option. .
  13. Going to be headed off to DKB shortly myself.
  14. SPC is too focused (and maybe jumping the gun) on tomorrow, and missing the need for an ENH for today.
  15. If things continue to hold, going to need an enhanced risk across parts of N IL/N IN. .
  16. That same storm is still going as of now, and is tor warned again. .
  17. 92 at ORD, MDW and ex home today, with 91 at RFD. 23 - Ex Home22 - RFD18 - MDW15 - ORD
  18. 3km NAM is also quite interesting. The disturbance in question for tomorrow has a tor warned sup along the IA/MN border currently. .
  19. SPC with the first quality discussion in ages, regarding tomorrow locally. MCV dependent setup, and will heavily depend on what occurs with said MCV tonight/tomorrow morning. .
  20. 89'd at ORD, MDW and RFD yesterday, but ex home was able to eek out a 90. 22 - Ex Home21 - RFD17 - MDW14 - ORD
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