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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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  1. Past several GEFS runs have shown the teleconnections I mentioned...So it's nothing new or anything that has changed.
  2. There’s actually growing support for a pattern change. As of now ENS show the -AO/-NAO we’ve seen relax to neutral, the -PNA going neutral or + and the neutral EPO going +. That all combined with the MJO expected to be in phase 7. Could lead to a more volatile pattern with warm/cold swings, or a just warmer pattern overall. We’ll see if ENS continues to show this, or if it gets pushed back a bit...how all big pattern changes usually do. .
  3. 6z Euro had a 1-3” event up here, 2-5” C IL. .
  4. Too many events have the opportunity to be noteworthy, and would need their own thread anyway. .
  5. The Euro has it too, just is about a day faster with everything. This is where everything is going to get confusing. .
  6. Not if the Tue-Wed event happens, like on 18z GFS. However, it’s not really a front, but an actual storm system.
  7. when it’s your winter, it’s your winter. .
  8. It’ll be snowing hard enough, that won’t be an issue. .
  9. Better chance for higher accumulation and somewhat less-wet snow, which would increase the impact out that way.
  10. Pass. All of the ones that have threads right now could be noteworthy enough. .
  11. on which event lol. rarely get to say that.
  12. It’s not even that “warm” at ORD, which is the warmest site by 2° in Northern and Central IL at 35°. .
  13. The immediate metro is the only area overachieving, which is pretty much the norm in these cases. The rest of N IL has temps ranging from the mid 10’s to mid 20’s. .
  14. As I mentioned to Ricky off the board, decent shot ORD is around 50” for the season in mid Feb, if things work out correctly. .
  15. Those that were wanting the clipper train may get what they wanted, from the look of the upcoming pattern on 0z guidance. Only thing is it wouldn’t be clippers of Alberta/Saskatchewan/Manitoba origin...But instead of PAC NW origin, due to positioning of the PV lobe. .
  16. 18z Euro and EPS Mean ticked south. 0z NAM with a solid bump south. .
  17. 18z GEM holding south, and a bit wetter. Few streaks of 0.60” of liquid equiv. .
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