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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    And then they double down, and bring the mod risk to the IL/WI border and into NW MI/N IN. Likely overdone.
  2. Chicago Storm
    They’ll be too far northeast. The biggest question is how quickly the threat fades with southeastward extent. The moderate risk to MKE seems be wishful thinking. .
  3. Chicago Storm
    I’m not him, but you’d have to be well north in MN/WI, and terrain is terrible. .
  4. Chicago Storm
    we’ll reel something in. we both know it always ends up south of guidance in these situations. .
  5. Chicago Storm
    too bad it’s a trash model. .
  6. Chicago Storm
    94 ORD/RFD/ex home and 93 MDW today. 21 - RFD20 - Ex home16 - MDW14 - ORD
  7. Chicago Storm
    90 ORD, 91 MDW, and 92 at RFD and ex home today. 20 - RFD19 - Ex home15 - MDW13 - ORD
  8. Chicago Storm
    92 ORD, 93 MDW and ex home, and 94 RFD today. 19 - RFD18 - Ex home14 - MDW12 - ORD
  9. Chicago Storm
    luckily it’s still a ways away. .
  10. Chicago Storm
    91 MDW, 90 RFD and ex home today. ORD was 89’d. 18 - RFD 17 - Ex home 13 - MDW 11 - ORD .
  11. Chicago Storm
    zzz .
  12. Chicago Storm
    It definitely took a few degrees off of the high temp a few days ago (20th). It’ll likely do the same in the coming days that feature the same thickness. It also doesn’t help that the smoke is dispersed throughout the atmosphere over a large part of the region, instead of just at one layer aloft. .
  13. Chicago Storm
    Smoke making it down to the surface once again this afternoon, with vis ranging from 5-9SM across NE IL/Chicago metro.
  14. Chicago Storm
    RFD the only noteworthy site in the area to go 90+ today, with 90. 17 - RFD 16 - Ex home 12 - MDW 11 - ORD The smoke probably prevented a more widespread area from hitting 90. .
  15. Chicago Storm
    Lowest vis with the smoke at ORD has been 6SM. .
  16. Chicago Storm
    Down to 6SM vis at ENW and UGN. .
  17. Chicago Storm
    usually someone starts a summer one, but apparently we’re behind the ball. .
  18. Chicago Storm
    we're the best at what we do.
  19. Chicago Storm
    For those in N IL/Chicago metro, don't expect that complex out west to come rolling through with any interest. 0z DVN sounding is underwhelming to say the least...And mesoanalysis is way overdone. EDIT: Disregard the above. COD having issues per usual these days, and the 0z sounding it showed me was actually from 12z. The environment is hot...carry on.
  20. Chicago Storm
    That was the kind of event the whole sun-forum pays for, for a lengthy time. .
  21. Chicago Storm
    TOG about one county worth of distance WNW of Hawkeye. .
  22. Chicago Storm
    IA is the only play.
  23. Chicago Storm
    6z 3km NAM isn’t handling things well. .
  24. Chicago Storm
    Not surprisingly, the SPC’s NAM is much too far north and slow still with the current evolution, and is toss worthy. Luckily they have at least some sense of awareness, and have baby stepped south the past two outlook cycles. Edit: To add... The 6z NAM is about the size of Iowa off on the placement of the MCV currently. (And much too slow as I mentioned)
  25. Chicago Storm
    Not per say. The issue is that it will heavily dictate what happens the rest of the day... Including where development occurs in the afternoon, and the severity. .
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