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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. I procrastinated per usual and left late, but still will probably sit in DKB a bit, unless something catches my eye. .
  2. The slowly maturing cells along the IL/WI are already rotating. .
  3. With increasing LL SRH with time, storm mode isn't going to make much difference. Could see a 10% tor and/or 30% wind being needed.
  4. No, initiation will occur (and already has) to the northwest of there on the boundary. DKB is a good starting point though, with 88 as E/W option and 23 as N/S option. .
  5. Going to be headed off to DKB shortly myself.
  6. SPC is too focused (and maybe jumping the gun) on tomorrow, and missing the need for an ENH for today.
  7. If things continue to hold, going to need an enhanced risk across parts of N IL/N IN. .
  8. That same storm is still going as of now, and is tor warned again. .
  9. 92 at ORD, MDW and ex home today, with 91 at RFD. 23 - Ex Home22 - RFD18 - MDW15 - ORD
  10. 3km NAM is also quite interesting. The disturbance in question for tomorrow has a tor warned sup along the IA/MN border currently. .
  11. SPC with the first quality discussion in ages, regarding tomorrow locally. MCV dependent setup, and will heavily depend on what occurs with said MCV tonight/tomorrow morning. .
  12. 89'd at ORD, MDW and RFD yesterday, but ex home was able to eek out a 90. 22 - Ex Home21 - RFD17 - MDW14 - ORD
  13. Significant and compact bowing MCS in SW WI, with tail-end charlie sups. Nice environment ahead of it, so it should rake across much of S WI. .
  14. Sort of the same as I mentioned a few days ago... Pretty much every day will have some severe potential in the region, but none of the days look interesting at this point. .
  15. Looks like a daily shot of severe potential in the region from Saturday through mid next week. None of the days really stick out yet as far as potential though. Locally we’ll be in play for multiple days with some sort of potential as well.
  16. Peak wind gusts of 42KT and 45KT on the two sensors at ORD, as the line moved through around 3AM. .
  17. Unless things change soon, Michigan is out of it. Trajectory has been more S to SSE. .
  18. Looking bank for now. Current trajectories would bring it across a large portion of N IL. I'm still not sold on any quality severe potential by that time, but an MCS would still be nice. I'm on a mid at ORD tonight too.
  19. 90 at MDW and ex home today, with debris clouds obviously an issue across the area. 21 - RFD21 - Ex home17 - MDW14 - ORD
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