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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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  1. Also hit 91 at ex home and 90 at MDW yesterday. 25 - Ex Home 24 - RFD 20 - MDW 17 - ORD .
  2. 91 at RFD today. 24 - Ex Home24 - RFD19 - MDW16 - ORD
  3. The issue with your case is that you’re doubling down on the shade component. Most wx stations already have ventilated shields, which obviously shade and ventilate the thermometer. So by placing it in a heavily wooded/shaded area, you’re now getting an unrealistically too cool of temperature. .
  4. 6-10” of rain the past several hours in the hardest hit corridor, around Gibson City. .
  5. As mentioned before, the 0z DVN sounding shows capping is still in place.
  6. Counting this morning, it was the 3rd quality day in a row... So it was bound to end at some point.
  7. I believe they more-so meant it is a sign that the atmosphere is still somewhat stable to a degree, which meso-analysis supports (If you believe it). 0z DVN sounding coming in shows capping still in place as well, which is likely the reason the activity is struggling in the great environment across E IA. Edit: I'll add that obviously we are still destabilizing a bit more. .
  8. Figures home would get hit when you're not even there.
  9. Seems evident that activity in WI has been struggling due to the modified/outflow environment that was advected north earlier...An add in maybe a bit of lingering capping as well.
  10. Green County. Reasoning would have been... Better terrain, is still a quality environment as activity would work in.
  11. If not for coming off a mid last night at ORD, I'd be sitting in Monroe, WI currently.
  12. A well defined MCV was evident for a while on DVN/MKX/ILX/IWX.
  13. That would be the outflow and modified air from the MCS down south. .
  14. a moment of silence for what could have been the Chicago area version of 8/10/20 .
  15. Additionally, looks like the main storm collapsed right as it was entering the metro. So that’s another negative. .
  16. Velo is collapsing right before getting to the LOT radar site, so those 70-110mph wind gusts are just off the surface...barely. Surface stable layer must still be in place. Needed this activity to roll through a bit later, say around noon, to have had better transport to the surface.
  17. Good catch with the HRDPS. That might be the only piece of guidance that has a handle on the situation... And as you mentioned, it has solid recovery and the area gets rolled this evening (in addition to a hit later this morning). SPC did upgrade into N IL to an ENH. I probably would have hedged safer for now and kept the ENH in WI/MI for now, with the ability to upgrade further for the 1630 SWODY1. .
  18. That was as of then... As of now, parts of WI and MI look the be the only safe choices to include in an ENH risk. I’d hold off on any portions of IA/IL until a later time, if at all. .
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