ldub23

Possible

This the forecast for NewprtNews, I have no idea wgere they get 3-7 inches of snow from Saturday A chance of snow after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 25. North wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night Snow before 4am, then snow and freezing rain. Low around 23. Northeast wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

Yea, thats storm 2. EURO still has the storm but its slightly further offshore and gets no precip onshore.

Except for now the EURO and GFS agree which makes it seem more lkely to happen

222 HR GFS is a raging blizzard for central VA. 37 inches of snow/sleet thru 228

Looking at 12Z models i dont think Storm watch is needed for the peninsula. GFS gives us a chance for a storm around 210hr and agrees with last nights EURO.

One day, somehow one good model run will verify

SEVA will need 2 more jumps south

Very dry run for NC.

Its pretty much the GFS vs all other models for now. Euro will be interesting.

Maybe It will make to 60 here Sunday. Huge north jump on EURO.

No, im headed to bed and waiting for the 288 hr GFS 976 mb Snow bomb off Hatteras, lol

Yea, its a disaster. Ukmet/cmc VS GFS so far. Maybe tomorrow is better.

Its really rare to get ZR here to a damaging amount.

I am hoping for suppression now, lol

15-20 for most all of VA except here.

It looks great for RIC. If the ICON is right a foot+ easy.

0z looking worse still

18Z got even worse on the models

Worse

Ukmet has the 32 line getting to RIC sunday morning. Its done

Thats worse. When the heavy snow gets to DC that always means the rain line moves further NW in VA, Sunday will end up 65 here, lol

Nothing good about the euro at all. 2 more days of this and its 55 and rain

This ORF for jan 1966. More mixing for storm 2 than i had. 2nd to right is the snow accu 1966-01-25 32 28 30.0 -11.8 35 0 T T 0 1966-01-26 33 27 30.0 -11.8 35 0 1.34 7.1 2 1966-01-27 35 25 30.0 -11.9 35 0 0.24 2.3 9 1966-01-28 33 19 26.0 -15.9 39 0 0.00 0.0 8 1966-01-29 33 18 25.5 -16.5 39 0 0.96 4.6 8 1966-01-30 24 12 18.0 -24.1 47 0 0.06 0.2 8 1966-01-31 31 10 20.5 -21.7 44 0 0.00 0.0 7